Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday


	Sestao		UD Logroñés Promesas

	1	X	2
	1.26	4.8	9.75
	1.36	4	9
	1.26	4.96	13.46
	1.25	5	11.75
	1.28	4.6	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.36)	4.67 ↑ (3.9)	10.79 ↑ (8.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestao
71.8%

Draw
19.7%

UD Logroñés Promesas
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

23.2%

10.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

22.4%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sestao's performance.

UD Logroñés Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés Promesas than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Sestao - UD Logroñés Promesas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 15 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Sestao is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sestao won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Sestao won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sestao River
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.02.23	Alfaro - Sestao	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Sestao - Utebo	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Tarazona - Sestao	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Izarra - Sestao	0:0 ✺
08.01.23	Sestao - Tudelano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLTW
- UD Logroñés Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.02.23	UD Logroñés Promesas - Real Sociedad C	0:1 ✺
28.01.23	Racing Rioja - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:1 ✺
22.01.23	UD Logroñés Promesas - Arnedo	3:0 ✺
15.01.23	UD Logroñés Promesas - Brea	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Cirbonero - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
25.09.22	UD Logroñés Promesas - Sestao	0:1
24.04.22	UD Logroñés Promesas - Sestao	1:1
05.12.21	Sestao - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:1

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