Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 11

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Yagüe		Arnedo

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.2	2.22
	2.95	3.25	2.31
	3.00	3.23	2.28	Watch
	2.94	3.16	2.25
	2.75	3.3	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.76)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	2.28 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yagüe
31.6%

Draw
28.3%

Arnedo
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

27.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

28.6%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yagüe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Arnedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yagüe than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arnedo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Yagüe - Arnedo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
81', 0 - 1, ⚽,
88', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yagüe won 1.

Yagüe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arnedo is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Yagüe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Yagüe won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Yagüe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yagüe CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
01.11.25	Yagüe - San Marcial	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Anguiano - Yagüe	3:2 ✺
19.10.25	Yagüe - La Calzada	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Haro Deportivo - Yagüe	2:5 ✺
05.10.25	Yagüe - Varea	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWWL
- CD Arnedo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
09.11.25	San Marcial - Arnedo	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Arnedo - La Calzada	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Varea - Arnedo	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Arnedo - Peña Balsamaiso	5:0 ✺
12.10.25	Autol - Arnedo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
11.05.25	Yagüe - Arnedo	2:1
12.01.25	Arnedo - Yagüe	2:0
23.01.22	Arnedo - Yagüe	0:0
10.04.21	Yagüe - Arnedo	1:1
16.11.19	Yagüe - Arnedo	1:2
23.09.18	Yagüe - Arnedo	4:3

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