Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 33Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday
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UD San Fernando |
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Tenerife C |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.58 |
3.4 |
5 |
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1.52 |
3.65 |
5.7 |
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1.46 |
3.73 |
6.23 |
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1.47 |
4.06 |
6.50 |
Watch |
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1.44 |
3.7 |
6.5 |
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1.42 |
3.72 |
7.75 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.48 ↓ (1.78) |
3.71 ↑ (3.4) |
6.28 ↑ (4.29) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
UD San Fernando 61.2% | Draw 24.4% | Tenerife C 14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UD San Fernando's performance.Tenerife C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tenerife C might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UD San Fernando that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife C than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tenerife C could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.UD San Fernando - Tenerife C Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Ribalta C. ⚽,
- 43', 2 - 0, Edu Salles ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 58', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 79', 4 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+1', 5 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 7).UD San Fernando is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).Tenerife C is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, UD San Fernando is the team to beat.We predict that UD San Fernando will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.In the last 1 head-to-head match, UD San Fernando won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Fernando | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:2 | 9 | 9 |
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| 12 | Tenerife C | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;