Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 30Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday
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UD San Fernando |
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Arucas |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.28 |
4.65 |
8.8 |
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1.29 |
4.73 |
9.97 |
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1.3 |
4.64 |
9.81 |
 Watch |
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1.3 |
4.2 |
10 |
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1.33 |
4.7 |
9.52 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3 ↓
(1.51) |
4.58 ↑
(3.9) |
9.62 ↑
(5.84) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
UD San Fernando
70.5% | Draw
20% | Arucas
9.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UD San Fernando's performance.Arucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arucas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UD San Fernando that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arucas than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arucas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.UD San Fernando - Arucas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+5', 🟥,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 14).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UD San Fernando won 2.UD San Fernando is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).Arucas is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Arucas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, UD San Fernando is the team to beat.We predict that UD San Fernando will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, UD San Fernando won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, UD San Fernando won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Fernando | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:2 | 9 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 | | | 06.12.25 | Arucas - UD San Fernando | 2:1 | | 04.04.25 | Arucas - UD San Fernando | 0:1 | | 24.11.24 | UD San Fernando - Arucas | 4:1 | | 10.02.23 | Arucas - UD San Fernando | 1:0 | | 07.10.22 | UD San Fernando - Arucas | 1:1 | | 10.04.21 | Arucas - UD San Fernando | 3:0 | | 27.11.20 | UD San Fernando - Arucas | 2:0 |
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