Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 6

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	UD San Fernando		Ursaria

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UD San Fernando
42%

Draw
29.6%

Ursaria
28.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.2%

28.8%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

30.3%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Ursaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

San Fernando will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.10.23	Badajoz - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	CD Guadalajara - UD San Fernando	1:3 ✺
17.09.23	UD San Fernando - Unión Adarve	1:1 ✺
10.09.23	San Sebastian Reyes - UD San Fernando	2:3 ✺
03.09.23	UD San Fernando - Mensajero	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 LWTWT
- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.10.23	Ursaria - CD Guadalajara	3:2 ✺
23.09.23	Unión Adarve - Ursaria	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Ursaria - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
10.09.23	Mensajero - Ursaria	1:1 ✺
03.09.23	Ursaria - Getafe B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLTTT

UD San Fernando - Ursaria