Match Info

LUXEMBOURG: BGL Ligue - Round 25

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	UNA Strassen		Fola Esch

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	3.8
	1.84	3.63	3.94
	1.84	3.63	3.94
	1.78	3.7	4.04
	1.74	3.65	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.71)	3.64 ↓ (3.7)	3.94 ↓ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UNA Strassen
51.5%

Draw
25.2%

Fola Esch
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

24.7%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

24.2%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNA Strassen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Fola Esch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNA Strassen than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fola Esch than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Zenadji A. ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Zenadji A. ⚽,
26', 3 - 0, Schutte D. ⚽,
32', 3 - 1, Diallo J. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches UNA Strassen won 4.

UNA Strassen is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fola is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match UNA Strassen is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches UNA Strassen won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 24-41.

Including matches at home between the teams UNA Strassen won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-25.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNA Strassen
Luxembourg National Division
14.04.24	Jeunesse Esch - UNA Strassen	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	UNA Strassen - Wiltz 71	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	F91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen	4:3 ✺
17.03.24	UNA Strassen - Progrès Niedercorn	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Differdange 03 - UNA Strassen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTLLL
- Fola Esch
Luxembourg National Division
14.04.24	Wiltz 71 - Fola Esch	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Fola Esch - Progrès Niedercorn	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Victoria Rosport - Fola Esch	2:3 ✺
17.03.24	Fola Esch - Pétange	0:3 ✺
10.03.24	Swift Hesperange - Fola Esch	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.01.24	Fola Esch - UNA Strassen	0:2
Luxembourg National Division
05.11.23	Fola Esch - UNA Strassen	1:1
Luxembourg Cup
29.10.23	UNA Strassen - Fola Esch	4:3
Club Friendly
30.07.23	UNA Strassen - Fola Esch	2:1
Luxembourg National Division
21.05.23	UNA Strassen - Fola Esch	1:0
07.08.22	Fola Esch - UNA Strassen	2:1
06.03.22	Fola Esch - UNA Strassen	0:0

UNA Strassen - Fola Esch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide