Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 29

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Jos Nosbaum (Dudelange)


	F91 Dudelange		UNA Strassen

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.72
	2.43	3.51	2.62
	2.35	3.31	2.78	Watch
	2.3	3	2.7
	2.28	3.35	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.4)	3.25 ↑ (3.14)	2.71 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

F91 Dudelange
38.7%

Draw
27.9%

UNA Strassen
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

29.3%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

30.2%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

F91 Dudelange has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

UNA Strassen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for F91 Dudelange than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNA Strassen than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

F91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Latik E. (G) 77. Agostinho 3. Delorge K. 6. Englaro I. 23. Gavioli I. 4. Goncalves Tavares R. 36. Kamavuaka W. 8. Monteiro D. 22. Morren C. 7. Rotundo E. 33. Stumpf C.	99. Marques I. (G) 30. Agovic D. 10. Agovic E. 23. Brandenburger E. 18. Dadashev D. 8. Goncalves J. 34. Hall T. 7. Matheus Souza 90. Perez N. 3. Pimentel D. 9. Zenadji A.
Substitutes
80. Dinho 38. Lima E. 29. Mancini M. 27. Muratovic B. 5. Neamtiu T. 25. Novalic D. (G) 20. Tallarico V.	20. Agovic A. 31. Grym R. 69. Perret R. 88. Romeyns B. 14. Sacras A. 5. Schutte D. 6. Vova

Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, F91 Dudelange won 4.

F91 Dudelange has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

UNA Strassen is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, F91 Dudelange won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 48:25. (average 2.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, F91 Dudelange won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:16. (average 2.2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	UNA Strassen	8	8	0	0	17:2	15	24
11	Dudelange	8	2	1	5	8:15	-7	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- F91 Dudelange
Luxembourg National Division
10.05.26	Pétange - F91 Dudelange	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	F91 Dudelange - Victoria Rosport	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Swift Hesperange - F91 Dudelange	0:3 ✺
19.04.26	F91 Dudelange - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	F91 Dudelange - Hostert	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWTW
- UNA Strassen
Luxembourg National Division
10.05.26	UNA Strassen - Jeunesse Esch	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Differdange 03 - UNA Strassen	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	UNA Strassen - Jeunesse Canach	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Rodange - UNA Strassen	5:0 ✺
12.04.26	UNA Strassen - Racing Luxembourg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
07.12.25	UNA Strassen - F91 Dudelange	1:4
Luxembourg Cup
23.04.25	F91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen	4:2
Luxembourg National Division
16.03.25	F91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen	1:3
21.09.24	UNA Strassen - F91 Dudelange	0:1
30.03.24	F91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen	4:3
27.09.23	UNA Strassen - F91 Dudelange	1:1
05.03.23	UNA Strassen - F91 Dudelange	1:2

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