Match Info

RUSSIA: Youth League - Round 8

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday


	UOR Master-Saturn U19		Konoplev Academy U19

	1	X	2
	2.74	3.54	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.18)	3.54 ↓ (3.68)	2.32 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UOR Master-Saturn U19
33.8%

Draw
26.2%

Konoplev Academy U19
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

25.1%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

25.7%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UOR Master-Saturn U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UOR Master-Saturn U19's form might have worsened.

Konoplev Academy U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Konoplev Academy U19's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UOR Master-Saturn U19 than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UOR Master-Saturn U19, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Konoplev Academy U19 than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Konoplev Academy U19, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
71', 0 - 1, Kiselev M. ⚽,
89', 0 - 2, Khalygov E. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Youth League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Youth League (Relegation Group: )).

UOR Master-Saturn U19 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Konoplev Academy U19 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches UOR Master-Saturn U19 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams UOR Master-Saturn U19 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UOR Master-Saturn U19
Russian Youth League
26.04.24	UOR Master-Saturn U19 - Baltika U19	0:0 ✺
19.04.24	Strogino Moscow U19 - UOR Master-Saturn U19	1:0 ✺
12.04.24	UOR Master-Saturn U19 - Krasnodar U19	3:5 ✺
05.04.24	Lokomotiv Moscow U19 - UOR Master-Saturn U19	2:0 ✺
29.03.24	Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 - UOR Master-Saturn U19	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL
- Konoplev Academy U19
Russian Youth League
26.04.24	Spartak Moscow U19 - Konoplev Academy U19	1:0 ✺
19.04.24	Konoplev Academy U19 - Krylya Sovetov Samara U19	3:0 ✺
12.04.24	Baltika U19 - Konoplev Academy U19	0:1 ✺
05.04.24	Sochi U19 - Konoplev Academy U19	2:1 ✺
29.03.24	Konoplev Academy U19 - Strogino Moscow U19	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Youth League
24.11.23	UOR Master-Saturn U19 - Konoplev Academy U19	5:0
29.04.22	UOR Master-Saturn U19 - Konoplev Academy U19	1:4
06.03.21	UOR Master-Saturn U19 - Konoplev Academy U19	1:1

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