Match Info

World Championship - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday

Location: Lumen Field (Seattle, WA)

Referee: Makhadmeh A. (Jor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, Azam Sports 4, New World Sport 1, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport PSL, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 2, TV Klan
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 6, beIN Sports MENA Max 6, beIN Sports MENA Max 6
Australia	SBS On Demand
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Belarus	Sport TV
Belgium	RTBF La Une, VRT 1
Bolivia	Entel Gol 56, ENTEL TV, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Bulgaria	BNT 1, BNT 3
Canada	fubo Sports Network, RDS App, RDS, TSN 1, TSN 3, TSN 4, TSN 5, TSN+
Croatia	HRT 2, HRTi
Czech-republic	CT sport, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Dr-congo	RTNC
Ecuador	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Teleamazonas
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	ARD, Magenta Sport
Guinea	RTG
Hong-kong	Now Player
Hungary	M4 Sport
India	ZEE5
Iran	IRIB TV3, IRIB Varzesh, Persiana Sports 2, Persiana Sports
Ireland	RTE 2, RTE Player
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Klan Kosova
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	unifi playTV, Unifi TV
Maldives	Medianet
Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, TUDN, ViX Premium
Netherlands	NPO 1
New-zealand	TVNZ+
Pakistan	PTV Sports, Tapmad
Panama	Tigo Sports
Paraguay	Canal Trece, GEN
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	Cignal Play, Pilipinas Live, TapGO TV
Poland	TVP 2, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	AntenaPLAY, Antena
Russia	Match TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	Singtel TV GO
Slovakia	JOJ Play
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1, Slovenia TV2
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	JTBC
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play
Turkey	TRT 1
Turkmenistan	Turkmenistan Sport
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport
Uruguay	AUFTV, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 310
Usa	AFN Sports, FOX One, Fubo Sports Network, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SportsEngine Play, Telemundo, TUDN
Uzbekistan	Futbol TV, Zor TV
Venezuela	DAZN, DSports 1
Vietnam	TV 360, VTV Go


	USA		Belgium

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.9
	2.5	3.25	2.87
	2.55	3.25	2.85
	2.65	3.45	2.95
	2.53	3.46	2.84	Watch
	2.55	3.30	2.90
	2.63	3.45	2.90
	2.47	3.40	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.63)	3.35 ↓ (3.42)	2.87 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USA
37.7%

Draw
28.8%

Belgium
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

27.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

28.9%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Belgium has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USA than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgium than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.1%	26.4%	28.6%

USA - Belgium Predictions

Users Predictions: 91 users predict this event. USA will win (votes: 41 - 45.1%). Belgium will win (votes: 26 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 24 - 26.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for USA: 34.9% – 55.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. USA (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Belgium (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Belgium (4.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - USA (1.81) (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .

DC - Belgium (1.54) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB - USA (1.78) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.71) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (1.53) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.75 - under (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. USA (votes: 9 - 36%). Belgium (votes: 13 - 52%). Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Freese M. (G) New York City 16. Freeman A. Villarreal 3. Richards C. Crystal Palace 13. Ream T. (C) Charlotte FC 5. Robinson A. Fulham 8. McKennie W. Juventus 4. Adams T. Bournemouth 17. Tillman M. Bayer Leverkusen 2. Dest S. PSV 20. Balogun F. Monaco 10. Pulisic C. AC Milan	1. Courtois T. (G) Real Madrid 21. Castagne T. Fulham 25. Ngoy N. Lille 4. Mechele B. Club Brugge 5. De Cuyper M. Brighton 23. Raskin N. Rangers 24. Onana A. Aston Villa 14. Lukebakio D. Benfica 8. Tielemans Y. (C) Aston Villa 10. Trossard L. Arsenal 17. De Ketelaere C. Atalanta
Substitutes
11. Aaronson B. Leeds 18. Arfsten M. Columbus Crew 14. Berhalter S. Vancouver Whitecaps 25. Brady C. (G) Chicago Fire 22. McKenzie M. Toulouse 9. Pepi R. PSV 7. Reyna G. B. Monchengladbach 12. Robinson M. FC Cincinnati 23. Scally J. B. Monchengladbach 6. Trusty A. Celtic 1. Turner M. (G) Lyon 21. Weah T. Marseille 19. Wright H. Coventry 26. Zendejas A. Club America	2. Debast Z. Sporting CP 7. De Bruyne K. Napoli 16. De Winter K. AC Milan 11. Doku J. Manchester City 26. Fernandez-Pardo M. Lille 12. Lammens S. (G) Manchester United 9. Lukaku R. Napoli 15. Meunier T. 19. Moreira D. Strasbourg 13. Penders M. (G) Chelsea 22. Saelemaekers A. AC Milan 18. Seys J. Club Brugge 3. Theate A. Eintracht Frankfurt 20. Vanaken H. Club Brugge 6. Witsel A.
Coaches
Pochettino M.	Garcia R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, De Ketelaere C. ⚽, Raskin N. (A),
21', Onana A. ↓, Vanaken H. ↑,
31', 1 - 1, Tillman M. ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, De Ketelaere C. ⚽, Trossard L. (A),
35', McKennie W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Dest S. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
57', 1 - 3, Vanaken H. ⚽, De Ketelaere C. (A),
59', Pulisic C. ↓, Berhalter S. ↑,
67', Lukebakio D. ↓, Doku J. ↑,
67', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Lukaku R. ↑,
69', Tillman M. 🟨,
72', Adams T. ↓, Pepi R. ↑,
89', Trossard L. ↓, Saelemaekers A. ↑,
89', Raskin N. ↓, Witsel A. ↑,
90+2', Balogun F. ↓, Wright H. ↑,
90+2', Robinson A. ↓, Arfsten M. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 4, Lukaku R. ⚽, Vanaken H. (A),

Preview

USA is ranked FIFA: 17. Belgium is ranked FIFA: 9.

In recent matches, USA has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Belgium is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There are questionable in USA: McKenzie M. (Foot Injury) Roldan C. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Belgium: Debast Z. (Leg Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, USA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1.7:3.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA
FIFA World Cup
01.07.26	USA - Bosnia and Herzegovina	2:0 ✺
25.06.26	Turkey - USA	3:2 ✺
19.06.26	USA - Australia	2:0 ✺
12.06.26	USA - Paraguay	4:1 ✺
Friendly
06.06.26	USA - Germany	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWL
- Belgium
FIFA World Cup
01.07.26	Belgium - Senegal	3:2 ET ✺
26.06.26	New Zealand - Belgium	1:5 ✺
21.06.26	Belgium - Iran	0:0 ✺
15.06.26	Belgium - Egypt	1:1 ✺
Friendly
06.06.26	Belgium - Tunisia	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
28.03.26	USA - Belgium	2:5
FIFA World Cup
01.07.14	Belgium - USA	2:1 ET
Friendly
29.05.13	USA - Belgium	2:4

USA - Belgium: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide