Match Info

Premier League - Round 17

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade de l'USFA (Ouagadougou)


	USFA		AS Douanes

	1	X	2
	1.96	2.88	4.25	Watch
	1.96	2.96	4.32	Watch
	1.9	2.9	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.93)	2.91 ↑ (2.9)	4.26 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USFA
47.1%

Draw
31.4%

AS Douanes
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

31.3%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

30.1%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for USFA have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

AS Douanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USFA than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AS Douanes than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

USFA - AS Douanes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', 1 - 0, Guel M. ⚽,
52', 2 - 0, Ouattara J. ⚽,
53', 2 - 1, Banao D. ⚽,
85', 2 - 2, Kiemde F. A. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USFA won 1.

In recent matches, USFA has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

AS Douanes's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, USFA is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, USFA won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, USFA won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	USFA	3	3	0	0	6:0	6	9
13	AS Douanes	3	1	0	2	2:3	-1	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USFA
Burkina Faso Premier League
26.01.26	Vitesse - USFA	0:0 ✺
27.12.25	USFA - Vitesse	1:0 ✺
23.12.25	USFA - CFFEB	0:0 ✺
19.12.25	AS Douanes - USFA	2:1 ✺
12.12.25	USFA - ASF Bobo Dioulasso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TWTLW
- AS Douanes Ouagadougou
Burkina Faso Premier League
27.01.26	AS Douanes - Rahimo	1:2 ✺
29.12.25	Rahimo - AS Douanes	2:0 ✺
19.12.25	AS Douanes - USFA	2:1 ✺
11.12.25	Majestic - AS Douanes	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	AS Douanes - Rail Club du Kadiogo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Burkina Faso Premier League
19.12.25	AS Douanes - USFA	2:1
15.03.25	USFA - AS Douanes	0:0
24.11.24	AS Douanes - USFA	1:2
11.02.23	AS Douanes - USFA	2:1
25.11.22	USFA - AS Douanes	0:0
02.03.22	AS Douanes - USFA	1:0
29.12.21	USFA - AS Douanes	0:1

USFA - AS Douanes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide