Match Info

Premier League - Round 14

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Demba Diop (Dakar)


	AS Douanes		USFA

	1	X	2
	3.04	2.8	2.46	Watch
	3	2.75	2.4
	3.04	2.72	2.47
	3	2.75	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.05)	2.76 ↓ (2.78)	2.44 (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AS Douanes
30%

Draw
32.9%

USFA
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

32.8%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

32.2%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AS Douanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

USFA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AS Douanes than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USFA than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

AS Douanes - USFA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Coulibaly A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90', 1 - 1, Kante A. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 1, Traore M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AS Douanes won 2.

AS Douanes has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

USFA is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

AS Douanes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, AS Douanes won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, AS Douanes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Douanes Ouagadougou
Burkina Faso Premier League
11.12.25	Majestic - AS Douanes	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	AS Douanes - Rail Club du Kadiogo	0:0 ✺
28.11.25	RC Bobo Dioulasso - AS Douanes	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	AS Douanes - ASF Bobo Dioulasso	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Sporting Cascades - AS Douanes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTWTW
- USFA
Burkina Faso Premier League
12.12.25	USFA - ASF Bobo Dioulasso	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	ASFA Yennenga - USFA	0:1 ✺
03.12.25	USFA - AJEB	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - USFA	0:1 ✺
24.11.25	USFA - AS SONABEL	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Burkina Faso Premier League
15.03.25	USFA - AS Douanes	0:0
24.11.24	AS Douanes - USFA	1:2
11.02.23	AS Douanes - USFA	2:1
25.11.22	USFA - AS Douanes	0:0
02.03.22	AS Douanes - USFA	1:0
29.12.21	USFA - AS Douanes	0:1
16.05.21	AS Douanes - USFA	2:2

AS Douanes - USFA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide