Match Info

ALGERIA: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 11

Date: 8 February 2023, Wednesday

Location: Stade Omar Hammadi (Algiers)


	USM Alger		Arbaâ

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.33	7.5
	1.3	4.1	9.5
	1.38	3.85	6.8
	1.34	4.51	11.42
	1.32	4.2	9.5
	1.32	4.7	9.5
	1.36	4.5	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.39)	4.31 ↑ (3.97)	8.95 ↑ (7.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USM Alger
68.5%

Draw
21.2%

Arbaâ
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

22.9%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

21.1%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USM Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Arbaâ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with USM Alger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbaâ than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

USM Alger - Arbaâ Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. USM Alger will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Arbaâ will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches USM Alger won 4.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

USM Alger could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match USM Alger is certain favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches USM Alger won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-6.

Including matches at home between the teams USM Alger won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USM Alger
Algerian Ligue 1
28.12.22	Biskra - USM Alger	1:0 ✺
24.12.22	USM Alger - Constantine	2:1 ✺
20.12.22	MC Alger - USM Alger	1:0 ✺
11.12.22	ASO Chlef - USM Alger	2:1 ✺
07.12.22	USM Alger - Belouizdad	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLT
- Arbaâ
Algerian Ligue 1
28.12.22	Arbaâ - Belouizdad	0:4 ✺
24.12.22	Paradou - Arbaâ	1:1 ✺
Algerian Cup
17.12.22	Arbaâ - ASO Chlef	1:2 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
11.12.22	Arbaâ - Chelghoum	3:1 ✺
07.12.22	Kabylie - Arbaâ	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
01.03.22	Arbaâ - USM Alger	2:0
30.10.21	USM Alger - Arbaâ	4:0
12.03.16	USM Alger - Arbaâ	4:0
20.10.15	Arbaâ - USM Alger	1:2
06.02.15	USM Alger - Arbaâ	5:1
20.09.14	Arbaâ - USM Alger	1:0
13.05.14	USM Alger - Arbaâ	2:1

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