Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 13

Date: 18 December 2025, Thursday


	USM Alger		Ben Aknoun

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.15	6.9
	1.4	4.21	9.03
	1.43	4.31	7.29	Watch
	1.44	3.8	7
	1.5	3.82	7.24	Watch
	1.38	4	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.38)	4.05 ↓ (4.15)	7.66 ↓ (9.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USM Alger
65%

Draw
22.9%

Ben Aknoun
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

22.4%

10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

21.1%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USM Alger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Ben Aknoun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for USM Alger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Aknoun than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

USM Alger - Ben Aknoun Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. USM Alger will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ben Aknoun will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Soufi K. (G) 21. Alilet A. 3. Atmania S. 14. Benzaza B. 13. Dehiri H. 6. Draoui Z. 27. Ghacha H. 7. Khaldi A. 12. Loucif H. 8. Merili I. 19. Radouani S.	16. Boussouf K. (G) 6. Benchelouche M. 2. Chaaraoui A. 4. Chahrour I. 27. Hachoud A. 13. Lakehal C. 5. Oukali A. 9. Saad A. 19. Souibaa M. 15. Talah F. 11. Zaouche A.
Substitutes
9. Benayad R. 24. Bouderbala M. 17. Bousseliou K. 23. Chetti I. 11. Likonza G. 31. Mechid D. E. 1. Sifour A. (G) 30. Tendeng A.	20. Benabdi A. 10. Bouamama B. 1. Dhifallah K. (G) 7. Djabout A. 26. Khalouf W. 21. Messaoud Salem M. 24. Sylla M. 3. Tamimi A. 23. Yattou M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Khaldi A. ⚽,
21', 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Saad A. ⚽,
28', 🟨,
36', 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 1, Loucif H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 2 - 2, Oukali A. ⚽,
82', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 6).

USM Alger is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ben Aknoun is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ben Aknoun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, USM Alger is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that USM Alger will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, USM Alger won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, USM Alger won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USM Alger
Algerian Cup
14.12.25	USM Alger - MO Constantine	3:0 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
08.12.25	Kabylie - USM Alger	1:2 ✺
Algerian Cup
04.12.25	Magra - USM Alger	0:1 penalties ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
28.11.25	Olympic Safi - USM Alger	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	USM Alger - San-Pédro	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWWW
- ES Ben Aknoun
Algerian Cup
06.12.25	Ben Aknoun - Ain Defla	2:0 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
09.11.25	ASO Chlef - Ben Aknoun	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Ben Aknoun - ES Sétif	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Rouissat - Ben Aknoun	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Ben Aknoun - Constantine	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
30.05.24	USM Alger - Ben Aknoun	0:2
23.01.24	Ben Aknoun - USM Alger	1:2

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