Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 16

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stade du 5 Juillet (Algiers)


	USM Alger		Kabylie

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.98	4.05
	1.88	3.05	4.9
	2.06	2.94	4.08	Watch
	1.91	2.88	4
	1.91	3.14	4.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2)	3 ↑ (2.98)	4.28 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USM Alger
47.5%

Draw
30.9%

Kabylie
21.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.4%

31.1%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

29.8%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USM Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Kabylie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kabylie than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	71.4%	7.1%

USM Alger - Kabylie Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. USM Alger will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Kabylie will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Benbot O. (G) 3. Atmania S. 5. Azzi I. 9. Benayad R. 14. Benzaza B. 27. Ghacha H. 7. Khaldi A. 11. Likonza G. 12. Loucif H. 20. Mahrouz R. 30. Tendeng A.	16. Merbah G. (G) 11. Akhrib L. 12. Bada A. 28. Benchaa R. 4. Bott M. 10. Boudebouz R. 24. Boulkaboul C. 17. Hamidi M. 20. Madani M. 18. Mahious A. 2. Nechat F.
Substitutes
24. Bouderbala M. 26. Boulares O. 22. Boutaoui M. 23. Chetti I. 13. Dehiri H. 6. Draoui Z. 8. Merili I. 19. Radouani S. 16. Soufi K. (G)	3. Bellaouel L. 13. Benattia O. 14. Cherir A. 21. Hadid M. (G) 7. Jaredi 27. Malki O. 26. Mammeri A. 25. Sarr B. 30. Tichtich I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Madani M. ⚽,
13', Madani M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USM Alger won 1.

USM Alger is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kabylie's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

USM Alger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, USM Alger has had a series of home games.

In this match, USM Alger is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, USM Alger won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, USM Alger won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Kabylie	5	3	1	1	7:3	4	10
5	USM Alger	5	3	1	1	6:3	3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USM Alger
CAF Confederation Cup
22.03.26	USM Alger - Maniema Union	1:0 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
18.03.26	USM Alger - ES Sétif	2:0 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
15.03.26	Maniema Union - USM Alger	2:1 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
08.03.26	USM Alger - Constantine	0:0 ✺
Algerian Cup
04.03.26	USM Alger - Saoura	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLTW
- JS Kabylie
Algerian Ligue 1
18.03.26	Kabylie - Saoura	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Khenchela - Kabylie	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Kabylie - Paradou	3:2 ✺
26.02.26	MC Alger - Kabylie	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Mostaganem - Kabylie	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
08.12.25	Kabylie - USM Alger	1:2
19.04.25	USM Alger - Kabylie	0:1
09.11.24	Kabylie - USM Alger	0:0
06.05.24	USM Alger - Kabylie	2:2
07.10.23	Kabylie - USM Alger	1:0
05.05.23	Kabylie - USM Alger	1:0
06.09.22	USM Alger - Kabylie	1:0

USM Alger - Kabylie: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide