Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 29

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stade du 5 Juillet 1962 (Algiers)


	USM Alger		Olympique Akbou

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.92	3.1
	2.27	2.95	3.41
	2.93	2.68	2.82	Watch
	2.25	2.7	3.3
	2.3	2.92	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (1.89)	2.83 ↓ (3.17)	3.21 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USM Alger
38.4%

Draw
32.7%

Olympique Akbou
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

29.3%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

28.8%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USM Alger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that USM Alger's form might have worsened.

Olympique Akbou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olympique Akbou's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for USM Alger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Akbou than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olympique Akbou, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	33.3%	40%

USM Alger - Olympique Akbou Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. USM Alger will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Olympique Akbou will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olympique Akbou: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. USM Alger (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Olympique Akbou (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. USM Alger (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Olympique Akbou (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Soufi K. (G) 28. Abada A. 5. Azzi I. 9. Benayad R. 24. Bouderbala M. 23. Chetti I. 6. Draoui Z. 12. Loucif H. 20. Mahrouz R. 8. Merili I. (C) 30. Tendeng A.	16. Klileche B. (G) 4. Amriche A. 14. Benrabah N. 17. Boukaroum B. (C) 51. Boursali R. 9. Gherbi M. A. 11. Hamroune R. 3. Mekideche N. 18. Messiad H. 15. Sabri M. 6. Zidi L.
Substitutes
3. Atmania S. 26. Boulares O. 13. Dehiri H. 7. Khaldi A. 2. Kourdi W. 0. Limane A. 4. Malone Junior C. 1. Sifour A. (G)	26. Belgacem G. 5. Bouteldja S. 73. Boutiba R. 55. Ghebri Y. 28. Hamdi O. 23. Mehdaoui M. . Meziane 13. Yesli Y. (G) 10. Zamoum W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Bouderbala M. ⚽,
22', Chetti I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Boursali R. ↓, Zamoum W. ↑,
46', Sabri M. ↓, Mehdaoui M. ↑,
60', Benrabah N. ↓, Boutiba R. ↑,
65', Tendeng A. ↓, Kamagate D. ↑,
65', Merili I. ↓, Limane A. ↑,
76', Hamroune R. ↓, Belgacem G. ↑,
82', Benayad R. ↓, Malone Junior C. ↑,
89', Mahrouz R. ↓, Kourdi W. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 5).

USM Alger is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Olympique Akbou has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Olympique Akbou may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, USM Alger won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, USM Alger won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	USM Alger	3	2	1	0	5:2	3	7
11	Olympique Akbou	3	1	0	2	4:5	-1	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USM Alger
CAF Confederation Cup
16.05.26	Zamalek - USM Alger	1:1 penalties ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
12.05.26	USM Alger - Mostaganem	1:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
09.05.26	USM Alger - Zamalek	1:0 ✺
Algerian Cup
30.04.26	USM Alger - Belouizdad	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	CA Batna - USM Alger	1:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WTWWW
- Olympique Akbou
Algerian Ligue 1
08.05.26	Olympique Akbou - Belouizdad	0:1 ✺
28.04.26	MC Alger - Olympique Akbou	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Olympique Akbou - Kabylie	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	ASO Chlef - Olympique Akbou	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Olympique Akbou - ES Sétif	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
27.12.25	Olympique Akbou - USM Alger	1:1
26.05.25	USM Alger - Olympique Akbou	1:1
01.02.25	Olympique Akbou - USM Alger	0:0

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