Match Info

Botola 2 - Round 21

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday


	USM Oujda		Chabab Benguérir

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.68	3.65
	2.18	2.68	3.57
	2.2	2.74	3.65	Watch
	2.2	2.5	3.6
	2.19	2.69	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.2)	2.66 ↑ (2.57)	3.63 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USM Oujda
41.3%

Draw
33.9%

Chabab Benguérir
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

34.7%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

33.3%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USM Oujda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Chabab Benguérir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USM Oujda than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chabab Benguérir than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

USM Oujda - Chabab Benguérir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 14)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USM Oujda won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Chabab Benguérir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

USM Oujda will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, USM Oujda won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, USM Oujda won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	USM Oujda	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
8	Chabab Benguerir	2	1	0	1	2:1	1	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USM Oujda
Moroccan Botola 2
29.03.26	USM Oujda - Amal Tiznit	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	KAC Kenitra - USM Oujda	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	USM Oujda - Raja de Beni Mellal	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Chabab Mohammedia - USM Oujda	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	USM Oujda - Chabab Massira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTWLT
- Chabab Benguérir
Moroccan Botola 2
28.03.26	Chabab Benguérir - Chabab Atlas Khénifra	4:0 ✺
15.03.26	Raja de Beni Mellal - Chabab Benguérir	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Chabab Benguérir - Chabab Mohammedia	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	KAC Kenitra - Chabab Benguérir	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Chabab Benguérir - Widad Témara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Moroccan Botola 2
01.11.25	Chabab Benguérir - USM Oujda	2:1
18.05.25	USM Oujda - Chabab Benguérir	3:3
19.01.25	Chabab Benguérir - USM Oujda	1:1
11.05.24	USM Oujda - Chabab Benguérir	2:1
11.11.23	Chabab Benguérir - USM Oujda	1:1
14.05.23	Chabab Benguérir - USM Oujda	0:0
12.11.22	USM Oujda - Chabab Benguérir	1:0

USM Oujda - Chabab Benguérir: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide