Match Info

KNVB Beker - 1/64-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	USV Hercules		Spakenburg

	1	X	2
	5.5	5.25	1.42
	5.25	4.46	1.44
	3.87	2.83	2.13	Watch
	5.46	5.21	1.44
	5.4	5.2	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.1 ↑ (4.96)	4.59 ↓ (4.7)	1.57 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USV Hercules
18.7%

Draw
20.7%

Spakenburg
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

19.1%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5%

18.4%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USV Hercules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Spakenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USV Hercules than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spakenburg than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

USV Hercules - Spakenburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Bastmeijer S. (Pen),
40', 1 - 1, Guiting J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
75', 1 - 2, van der Linden F. ⚽,
89', 1 - 3, El Azzouti A. ⚽,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Spakenburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Spakenburg is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, USV Hercules won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, USV Hercules won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USV Hercules
Dutch Derde Divisie
20.09.25	USV Hercules - DVS33 Ermelo	0:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
03.09.25	USV Hercules - GOES	4:0 ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
16.08.25	Staphorst - USV Hercules	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Quick Boys - USV Hercules	3:2 ✺
29.07.25	Amsterdamsche FC - USV Hercules	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLLW
- SV Spakenburg
Dutch Tweede Divisie
20.09.25	GVVV - Spakenburg	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Spakenburg - Excelsior Maassluis	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	RKAV Volendam - Spakenburg	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Spakenburg - HSV Hoek	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - Spakenburg	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
17.05.17	USV Hercules - Spakenburg	2:1

USV Hercules - Spakenburg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide