Match Info

Date: 21 December 2020, Monday


	UTA Arad		Astra Giurgiu

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.6	Watch
	2.85	2.85	2.7	Watch
	2.95	2.9	2.6
	2.85	2.8	2.6
	3.03	2.89	2.8
	2.9	2.75	2.7
	2.9	2.88	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.71)	2.85 ↓ (2.92)	2.68 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UTA Arad
32.1%

Draw
32.9%

Astra Giurgiu
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

32.1%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

22.6%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UTA Arad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Astra Giurgiu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UTA Arad than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UTA Arad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astra Giurgiu than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Astra Giurgiu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.8%	41.9%	32.3%

UTA Arad - Astra Giurgiu Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. UTA Arad will win (votes: 8 - 25.8%). Astra Giurgiu will win (votes: 10 - 32.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 41.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.5% – 59.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches UTA Arad is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Astra Giurgiu is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Astra Giurgiu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently UTA Arad have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UTA Arad
Romanian SuperLiga
17.12.20	Sepsi OSK - UTA Arad	3:0 ✺
14.12.20	UTA Arad - Universitatea Craiova	1:2 ✺
05.12.20	FCSB - UTA Arad	3:0 ✺
Romanian Cup
30.11.20	Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc - UTA Arad	0:2 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
22.11.20	CFR Cluj - UTA Arad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 LLLWW
- Astra Giurgiu
Romanian SuperLiga
15.12.20	Astra Giurgiu - Gaz Metan Mediaș	3:0 ✺
11.12.20	Botoșani - Astra Giurgiu	1:1 ✺
07.12.20	Astra Giurgiu - Chindia Târgoviște	0:0 ✺
Romanian Cup
29.11.20	Ripensia Timișoara - Astra Giurgiu	1:5 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
22.11.20	Hermannstadt - Astra Giurgiu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTTWW

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