Match Info

Superliga - Round 19

Date: 8 December 2025, Monday

Location: Arena Francisc Neuman (Arad)

Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1


	UTA Arad		Petrolul Ploieşti

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.2	Watch
	2.25	2.92	3.25
	2.33	2.93	3.76
	2.22	3.08	3.47	Watch
	2.3	2.88	3.3
	2.28	2.96	3.36	Watch
	2.25	2.83	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.38)	2.94 ↓ (3.05)	3.44 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UTA Arad
41.3%

Draw
31.6%

Petrolul Ploieşti
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

30.1%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

29.8%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UTA Arad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Petrolul Ploieşti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UTA Arad than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrolul Ploieşti than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	18.2%	27.3%

UTA Arad - Petrolul Ploieşti Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. UTA Arad will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Ploiesti will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for UTA Arad: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. UTA Arad (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Ploiesti (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Gorcea A. (G) 13. Iacob F. 6. Poulolo F. 60. Pospelov D. 3. Alomerovic D. 19. Costache V. (C) 16. Odada R. 17. Mihai L. 20. Taroi D. 11. Abdallah H. 9. Coman M.	41. Krell S. (G) 24. Ricardinho 4. Papp P. 69. Roche Y. 18. Salceanu R. 88. Dulca M. 5. Dongmo D. 6. Jyry T. 11. Gheorghe V. 9. Chica-Rosa A. 7. Grozav G. (C)
Substitutes
27. Barbu D. 4. Benga A. 97. Hrezdac D. 1. Iliev D. (G) 5. Mino S. 23. Popescu O. 8. Roman A. 28. Stolnik M. 2. Tutu M. 30. Van Durmen B. 29. Vlasceanu L.	1. Balbarau R. (G) 36. Botogan A. 15. Doukansy B. 19. Doumtsios K. 97. Dumitrache A. 44. Dumitriu L. 42. Guilherme 20. Hanca S. 25. Onguene J. 21. Paraschiv D. 30. Tolea I.
Coaches
Mihalcea A.	Neagoe E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Salceanu R. ↓, Botogan A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Dulca M. 🟨,
62', Mihai L. ↓, Roman A. ↑,
62', Taroi D. ↓, Barbu D. ↑,
66', Odada R. 🟨,
71', Chica-Rosa A. ↓, Hanca S. ↑,
73', Iacob F. 🟨,
80', Costache V. ↓, Van Durmen B. ↑,
80', Odada R. ↓, Hrezdac D. ↑,
84', Dulca M. ↓, Doumtsios K. ↑,
84', Roche Y. ↓, Onguene J. ↑,
88', Alomerovic D. 🟨,
90', Coman M. ↓, Mino S. ↑,
90+1', Gheorghe V. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 0, Roman A. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UTA Arad won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

UTA Arad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

UTA Arad will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in UTA Arad: Tzionis M. (Injury)

There will not play in Ploiesti: Fabricio Baiano (Knee Injury) Ludewig K. (Ankle Injury) Marian B. (Inactive) Prce F. (Inactive) Ticu V. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, UTA Arad won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:14. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, UTA Arad won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Petrolul Ploieşti - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.4%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UTA Arad
Romanian Cup
03.12.25	UTA Arad - FCSB	3:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
30.11.25	Hermannstadt - UTA Arad	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	UTA Arad - Universitatea Cluj	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.11.25	UTA Arad - Corvinul Hunedoara	1:2 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
09.11.25	Universitatea Craiova - UTA Arad	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WWLLW
- Petrolul Ploieşti
Romanian Cup
04.12.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - Universitatea Craiova	0:4 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
01.12.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - Metaloglobus Bucureşti	4:1 ✺
22.11.25	FCSB - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.11.25	Steaua București - Petrolul Ploieşti	2:2 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
08.11.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - Oţelul Galaţi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Romanian Cup
30.10.25	UTA Arad - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:1
Romanian SuperLiga
01.08.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - UTA Arad	1:2
05.05.25	UTA Arad - Petrolul Ploieşti	2:0
15.02.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - UTA Arad	0:1
04.10.24	UTA Arad - Petrolul Ploieşti	3:1
22.04.24	Petrolul Ploieşti - UTA Arad	1:1
24.02.24	UTA Arad - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:0

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