Match Info

Superliga - Round 18

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadionul Municipal (Sibiu)

Referee: Fesnic H. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV


	Hermannstadt		UTA Arad

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3	Watch
	2.25	3.05	3.1
	2.4	3.05	3.5
	2.38	3.34	2.85	Watch
	2.31	3.02	3.24	Watch
	2.28	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.35)	3.11 ↓ (3.2)	3.18 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hermannstadt
40.6%

Draw
30.1%

UTA Arad
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

28.6%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

28.4%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hermannstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

UTA Arad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hermannstadt than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UTA Arad than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Hermannstadt - UTA Arad Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Hermannstadt will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). UTA Arad will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hermannstadt: 57.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Hermannstadt (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cabuz C. (G) 30. Antwi N. 3. Karo A. 5. Bejan F. (C) 77. Stancu L. 51. Oroian A. 13. Albu D. 24. Ivanov A. 10. Negut C. 11. Bus S. 9. Chitu A.	33. Gorcea A. (G) 2. Tutu M. 6. Poulolo F. 60. Pospelov D. 3. Alomerovic D. 97. Hrezdac D. 17. Mihai L. 11. Abdallah H. 8. Roman A. 19. Costache V. (C) 9. Coman M.
Substitutes
21. Batista D. 29. Biceanu C. 66. Capusa T. 98. Ciubotaru K. 20. Gindila I. 19. Gjorgjievski M. 16. Issah S. 7. Jair 23. Mihart I. 31. Mutiu V. (G) 22. Pop I. (G) 4. Stoica I.	27. Barbu D. 4. Benga A. 13. Iacob F. 1. Iliev D. (G) 5. Mino S. 16. Odada R. 72. Padula A. 23. Popescu O. 28. Stolnik M. 20. Taroi D. 30. Van Durmen B.
Coaches
Maldarasanu M.	Mihalcea A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Roman A. 🟨,
18', Negut C. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Tutu M. ↓, Barbu D. ↑,
46', Roman A. ↓, Iacob F. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Coman M. ⚽, Costache V. (A),
56', 0 - 2, Abdallah H. ⚽, Costache V. (A),
64', Bus S. ↓, Gjorgjievski M. ↑,
64', Oroian A. ↓, Capusa T. ↑,
71', Poulolo F. 🟨,
72', 1 - 2, Ivanov A. ⚽,
73', Mihai L. ↓, Odada R. ↑,
73', Hrezdac D. ↓, Van Durmen B. ↑,
75', Chitu A. ↓, Jair ↑,
75', Bejan F. ↓, Stoica I. ↑,
84', Abdallah H. ↓, Padula A. ↑,
84', Albu D. ↓, Biceanu C. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hermannstadt won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Hermannstadt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, UTA Arad has had a series of home games.

Hermannstadt is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Hermannstadt: Balaure S. (Muscle Injury) Kujabi K. (Injury)

There are questionable in UTA Arad: Poulolo F. (Inactive) Tzionis M. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Hermannstadt won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hermannstadt won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.1:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

UTA Arad - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.45%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hermannstadt
Romanian SuperLiga
24.11.25	Metaloglobus Bucureşti - Hermannstadt	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Hermannstadt - FCSB	3:3 ✺
02.11.25	Hermannstadt - Oţelul Galaţi	1:3 ✺
Romanian Cup
30.10.25	Concordia Chiajna - Hermannstadt	0:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
27.10.25	Botoșani - Hermannstadt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTLWL
- UTA Arad
Romanian SuperLiga
22.11.25	UTA Arad - Universitatea Cluj	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.11.25	UTA Arad - Corvinul Hunedoara	1:2 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
09.11.25	Universitatea Craiova - UTA Arad	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	UTA Arad - Metaloglobus Bucureşti	2:0 ✺
Romanian Cup
30.10.25	UTA Arad - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
26.07.25	UTA Arad - Hermannstadt	1:0
26.04.25	Hermannstadt - UTA Arad	3:0
31.01.25	Hermannstadt - UTA Arad	0:0
16.09.24	UTA Arad - Hermannstadt	1:1
12.04.24	UTA Arad - Hermannstadt	1:3
02.12.23	UTA Arad - Hermannstadt	2:0
29.07.23	Hermannstadt - UTA Arad	2:1

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