Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga West - Round 13

Date: 28 October 2024, Monday


	Uerdingen		Fortuna Düsseldorf II

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.95	2.45
	2.65	3.3	2.5
	2.63	3.26	2.47
	2.63	3.27	2.48	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.38
	2.6	3.2	2.43
	2.65	3.3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (1.81)	3.25 ↓ (3.68)	2.46 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uerdingen
34.9%

Draw
28%

Fortuna Düsseldorf II
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

24.7%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

24%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uerdingen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Uerdingen's form might have worsened.

Fortuna Düsseldorf II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortuna Düsseldorf II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uerdingen than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Uerdingen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf II than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortuna Düsseldorf II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Uerdingen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Uerdingen will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Skolik K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 1 - 1, St. John R. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Uerdingen won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Uerdingen won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.4:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Uerdingen won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KFC Uerdingen 05
German Regionalliga West
19.10.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Uerdingen	1:0 ✺
12.10.24	Uerdingen - Paderborn II	3:1 ✺
05.10.24	Köln II - Uerdingen	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Uerdingen - Eintracht Hohkeppel	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Düren - Uerdingen	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWTWL
- Fortuna Düsseldorf II
German Regionalliga West
19.10.24	Paderborn II - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Eintracht Hohkeppel	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Türkspor Dortmund	7:0 ✺
21.09.24	Gütersloh - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
16.04.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Uerdingen	1:0
06.11.21	Uerdingen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	1:1
22.04.18	Uerdingen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	1:0
20.10.17	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Uerdingen	0:0
23.05.15	Uerdingen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	0:1
29.11.14	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Uerdingen	2:0
26.04.14	Uerdingen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	0:0

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