Match Info

Date: 3 March 2021, Wednesday


	Uerdingen		Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.8
	4.1	3.5	1.85
	3.7	3.55	1.85
	4	3.45	1.84
	4.13	3.86	1.87
	4	3.5	1.83
	4.4	3.34	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (4.06)	3.53 ↑ (3.37)	1.85 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uerdingen
22.7%

Draw
26.5%

Ingolstadt
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

27.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

21.6%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uerdingen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uerdingen than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ingolstadt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	5.6%	83.3%

Uerdingen - Ingolstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: Ingolstadt will win (30 of 36 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.15% – 95.51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Recent matches Uerdingen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ingolstadt is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Uerdingen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ingolstadt will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Uerdingen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Uerdingen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KFC Uerdingen 05
German 3 Bundesliga
28.02.21	Uerdingen - Duisburg	1:2 ✺
22.02.21	Wehen Wiesbaden - Uerdingen	3:1 ✺
07.02.21	Bayern Munich II - Uerdingen	0:1 ✺
17.01.21	Uerdingen - Waldhof Mannheim	1:1 ✺
09.01.21	Magdeburg - Uerdingen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWTT
- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
27.02.21	Dynamo Dresden - Ingolstadt	4:0 ✺
20.02.21	Ingolstadt - Kaiserslautern	1:0 ✺
06.02.21	Ingolstadt - Viktoria Köln	2:1 ✺
30.01.21	Unterhaching - Ingolstadt	0:1 ✺
27.01.21	Ingolstadt - Hallescher	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
20.09.20	Ingolstadt - Uerdingen	2:1
15.02.20	Ingolstadt - Uerdingen	0:1
17.08.19	Uerdingen - Ingolstadt	0:3

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