Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 27

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Uerdingen		Köln II

	1	X	2
	3.85	3.5	1.87
	4.31	4.01	1.65
	4.36	3.8	1.65
	4	3.55	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3.09)	3.72 ↓ (3.85)	1.74 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uerdingen
22.3%

Draw
24.8%

Köln II
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

23.9%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

22.4%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uerdingen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Uerdingen's form might have worsened.

Köln II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Köln II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uerdingen than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Uerdingen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln II than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Uerdingen - Köln II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, St. John R. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Ciccarelli N. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
72', 2 - 1, Pinto J. ⚽,
76', 2 - 2, Cuber Potocnik J. (Pen),
90+3', 3 - 2, Osawe U. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Uerdingen won 1.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Uerdingen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Köln II will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Uerdingen won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:18 (average 0.8:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Uerdingen won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:7 (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KFC Uerdingen 05
German Regionalliga West
22.03.25	Türkspor Dortmund - Uerdingen	N/A ✺
15.03.25	Eintracht Hohkeppel - Uerdingen	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Uerdingen - Düren	1:5 ✺
28.02.25	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Uerdingen	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Uerdingen - Bocholt	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 ?TLTL
- 1. Köln II
Club Friendly
19.03.25	Wegberg-Beeck - Köln II	0:0 ✺
German Regionalliga West
15.03.25	Köln II - Düren	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Bocholt - Köln II	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Köln II - Rödinghausen	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Schalke 04 II - Köln II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
05.10.24	Köln II - Uerdingen	1:1
29.01.22	Uerdingen - Köln II	2:2
28.08.21	Köln II - Uerdingen	8:2
18.11.17	Köln II - Uerdingen	1:0
29.07.17	Uerdingen - Köln II	2:1
31.01.15	Uerdingen - Köln II	0:0
09.08.14	Köln II - Uerdingen	1:0

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