The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ufa 25.2%
Draw 29.3%
Dynamo Moscow 45.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.5%
29.1%
45.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.6%
22.3%
59.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ufa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dynamo Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
17.1%
68.6%
Ufa - Dynamo Moscow Predictions
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Ufa will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). Dynamo M will win (votes: 24 - 68.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo M: 53.2% โ 84%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Ufa has the most likely position - 13 (65.25%), has project points - 25, has currently - 25, has a chance of relegated (50%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Dynamo M has the most likely position - 7 (100%), has project points - 50, has currently - 50, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Ufa is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Dynamo M is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Dynamo M could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Dynamo M will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Ufa won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 5-21.
Including matches at home between the teams Ufa won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-8.