Match Info

FNL - Round 8

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: BetBoom Arena (Ufa)

Referee: Lapatukhin A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ufa		Yenisey Krasnoyarsk

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.27	2.47
	3.00	3.20	2.40
	2.94	3.20	2.40	Watch
	2.80	3.00	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.91)	3.17 ↓ (3.24)	2.4 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ufa
31.8%

Draw
29.4%

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

28.9%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

29%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Ufa - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Belenov A. (G) 14. Agapov I. 88. Ageyan M. 2. Cherov V. 7. Davlitgereev A. 8. Isaev S. 5. Kutin D. 9. Lipovoy D. 70. Ortiz D. 6. Tarba Z. 11. Yakuev M.	1. Oparin M. (G) 10. Aliyev A. 7. Chukanov A. 22. Gyurdzhan A. 21. Ivanov E. 8. Kanaplin A. 33. Maslovskiy A. 87. Mazurin A. 75. Okladnikov A. 25. Shershov N. 3. Tses Y.
Substitutes
23. Akhatov D. 99. Evdokimov A. 43. Gilyazetdinov A. 10. Gongadze G. 69. Khanenko I. 1. Kraykov T. (G) 48. Lukyanov A. 19. Mayorov E. 97. Polesovshchikov A. 20. Shipunov T.	15. Balakhonov M. 6. Batyrev A. 55. Bogatyrev N. 17. Kokoev D. 90. Lomakin A. 77. Ogienko R. 39. Sorokin A. (G) 9. Tlekhugov M.
Coaches
Tetradze O.	Tashuev S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Shershov N. 🟨,
26', Agapov I. 🟨,
26', Okladnikov A. 🟨,
41', Shershov N. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Aliyev A. ↓, Tlekhugov M. ↑,
46', Okladnikov A. ↓, Balakhonov M. ↑,
46', Lipovoy D. ↓, Gongadze G. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Tarba Z. ⚽,
57', 2 - 0, Yakuev M. ⚽,
63', 2 - 1, Chukanov A. ⚽,
64', Ivanov E. ↓, Kokoev D. ↑,
64', Chukanov A. ↓, Batyrev A. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Ortiz D. ⚽,
73', Gongadze G. 🟨,
75', Kanaplin A. ↓, Ogienko R. ↑,
76', Davlitgereev A. ↓, Khanenko I. ↑,
76', Yakuev M. ↓, Akhatov D. ↑,
81', Isaev S. ↓, Polesovshchikov A. ↑,
83', Ageyan M. ↓, Mayorov E. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ufa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ufa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Ufa: 0.78% Yenisey: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Ufa	12	4	6	2	16:13	3	18
10	Yenisey	12	3	5	4	15:20	-5	14

Last Results with these Odds

Ufa - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 32.23%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.86%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ufa
Russian FNL
17.08.26	Spartak Kostroma - Ufa	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Ural - Ufa	3:0 ✺
03.08.26	Ufa - KAMAZ	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Ufa - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0 ✺
19.07.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Ufa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLTWT
- FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
Russian FNL
15.08.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - KAMAZ	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Spartak Kostroma - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:2 ✺
26.07.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Veles Moscow	4:1 ✺
19.07.26	Ural - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
28.03.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Ufa	1:0
03.11.25	Ufa - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:0
Russian Cup
15.10.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Ufa	1:2 penalties
Russian FNL
15.03.25	Ufa - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:1
20.10.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Ufa	1:0
13.05.23	Ufa - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:2
24.10.22	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Ufa	3:1

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