Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group H - Round 27

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ugento		Gravina

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.5
	2.44	3.2	2.65
	2.88	2.9	2.42
	2.48	3.31	2.62
	2.5	3.16	2.54
	2.44	3.2	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.4)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	2.56 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugento
35.8%

Draw
28.8%

Gravina
35.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

27.5%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Gravina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugento than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (-2%)

Ugento - Gravina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Ancora F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', 🟥,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ugento won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Ugento
Italian Serie D - Group H
23.02.25	Ugento - Fidelis Andria	3:1 ✺
09.02.25	Ugento - Francavilla	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Manfredonia - Ugento	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Ugento - Costa D`Amalfi	5:1 ✺
19.01.25	Nardo - Ugento	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLTWL
- FBC Gravina
Italian Serie D - Group H
23.02.25	Angri - Gravina	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Gravina - Nocerina	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Gravina - Matera	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Città di Brindisi - Gravina	2:2 ✺
19.01.25	Gravina - Città di Fasano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
03.11.24	Gravina - Ugento	5:0

Ugento - Gravina