Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group H - Round 24

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Gravina		Nocerina

	1	X	2
	4.7	3.6	1.64
	4.7	3.7	1.65	Watch
	4.75	3.6	1.61
	4.72	3.7	1.62
	4.7	3.6	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.71 ↑ (3.9)	3.64 ↑ (3.45)	1.63 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gravina
19.3%

Draw
25%

Nocerina
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

26.4%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

25.9%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gravina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Nocerina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nocerina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Gravina - Nocerina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
84', 0 - 1, Vono R. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gravina won 0.

Gravina is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nocerina is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nocerina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nocerina is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Gravina won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:16 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Gravina won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Gravina
Italian Serie D - Group H
02.02.25	Gravina - Matera	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Città di Brindisi - Gravina	2:2 ✺
19.01.25	Gravina - Città di Fasano	1:2 ✺
12.01.25	Palmese 1914 - Gravina	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Gravina - Martina Calcio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTLLL
- Nocerina
Italian Serie D - Group H
09.02.25	Nocerina - Manfredonia	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Fidelis Andria - Nocerina	0:2 ✺
12.01.25	Nocerina - Costa D`Amalfi	1:1 ✺
05.01.25	Ugento - Nocerina	1:2 ✺
22.12.24	Nocerina - Matera	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
20.10.24	Nocerina - Gravina	2:1
08.01.23	Nocerina - Gravina	2:1
04.09.22	Gravina - Nocerina	1:1
16.02.22	Gravina - Nocerina	0:2
10.10.21	Nocerina - Gravina	2:1
Italian Serie D - Play Offs
14.05.17	Nocerina - Gravina	4:1
Italian Serie D - Group H
26.03.17	Nocerina - Gravina	1:1

Gravina - Nocerina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide