What is the expert prediction for Ukraine vs Sweden?

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Ukraine vs Sweden Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, March 26, 2026)

Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Promotion - Semi-finals

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadi Ciutat de València (Valencia)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport Football
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Georgia	Silk Sport 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports News
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	Izzi TV
Mongolia	Premier Sports 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	Sky Sport 6
Nigeria	SuperSport Action
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV, SPOTV Now
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+
World	VIX App


	Ukraine		Sweden

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	2.25
	2.8	3.2	2.6
	3.25	3.25	2.28
	3.42	3.32	2.28
	3.34	3.46	2.37	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.2
	3.49	3.35	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.94)	3.28 ↑ (3.24)	2.33 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ukraine
29.5%

Draw
29.3%

Sweden
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

29.7%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ukraine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Sweden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	25%	41.7%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Ukraine will win (votes: 16 - 33.3%). Sweden will win (votes: 20 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sweden: 27.8% – 55.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ukraine (votes: 1 - 20%). Sweden (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Ukraine (2.31) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Ukraine (2.29) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

TQ, OT - Ukraine (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Ukraine (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Ukraine (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Ukraine (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Sweden (votes: 3 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Trubin A. (G) Benfica 22. Tymchyk O. Dynamo Kyiv 13. Zabarnyi I. (C) PSG 5. Bondar V. Shakhtar 16. Mykolenko V. Everton 21. Kaliuzhnyi I. Metalist 1925 15. Tsygankov V. Girona 18. Yarmolyuk Y. Brentford 17. Sudakov G. Benfica 20. Zubkov O. Trabzonspor 19. Vanat V. Girona	23. Nordfeldt K. (G) AIK 2. Lagerbielke G. Braga 4. Hien I. Atalanta 3. Lindelof V. (C) Aston Villa 6. Johansson H. FC Dallas 18. Ayari Y. Brighton 16. Karlstrom J. Udinese 5. Gudmundsson G. Leeds 11. Elanga A. Newcastle Utd 10. Nygren B. Celtic 17. Gyökeres V. Arsenal
Substitutes
7. Gutsulyak O. Polissya Zhytomyr 3. Mykhaylichenko B. Polissya Zhytomyr 1. Neshcheret R. (G) Dynamo Kyiv 14. Ocheretko O. Shakhtar 8. Pikhalyonok O. Dynamo Kyiv 11. Ponomarenko M. Dynamo Kyiv 23. Riznyk D. (G) Shakhtar 2. Sarapiy E. Polissya Zhytomyr 10. Shaparenko M. Dynamo Kyiv 4. Svatok O. Austin FC 6. Voloshyn N. Dynamo Kyiv 9. Yaremchuk R. Lyon	21. Ali T. Malmo FF 14. Bardghji R. Barcelona 7. Bergvall L. Tottenham 12. Ellborg M. (G) Sunderland 20. Larsson H. Eintracht Frankfurt 9. Nilsson G. Club Brugge 13. Smith E. St. Pauli 15. Starfelt C. Celta Vigo 19. Svanberg M. Wolfsburg 8. Svensson D. Dortmund 1. Tornqvist N. (G) Como 22. Zeneli B. Royale Union SG
Coaches
Rebrov S.	Potter G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Gyökeres V. ⚽, Nygren B. (A),
37', Hien I. ↓, Starfelt C. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 0 - 2, Gyökeres V. ⚽, Nordfeldt K. (A),
57', Tymchyk O. 🟨,
60', Vanat V. ↓, Yaremchuk R. ↑,
60', Zubkov O. ↓, Ocheretko O. ↑,
60', Kaliuzhnyi I. ↓, Gutsulyak O. ↑,
71', Trubin A. 🟨,
72', 0 - 3, Gyökeres V. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Nordfeldt K. 🟨,
77', Sudakov G. ↓, Ponomarenko M. ↑,
77', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Svensson D. ↑,
77', Ayari Y. ↓, Bergvall L. ↑,
85', Yarmolyuk Y. ↓, Shaparenko M. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 3, Ponomarenko M. ⚽,
90+4', Elanga A. ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location - Estadi Ciutat de València.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Ukraine: Dovbyk A. (Groin Injury) Konoplya Y. (Yellow Cards) Malinovskyi R. (Yellow Cards) Matviienko M. (Injury) Mykhavko T. (Injury) Zinchenko O. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sweden: Bernhardsson A. (Injury) Holm E. (Foot Injury) Isak A. (Broken Leg) Johansson V. (Shoulder Injury) Krafth E. (Knee Injury) Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Widell Zetterstrom J. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ukraine won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ukraine
FIFA World Cup
16.11.25	Ukraine - Iceland	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	France - Ukraine	4:0 ✺
13.10.25	Ukraine - Azerbaijan	2:1 ✺
10.10.25	Iceland - Ukraine	3:5 ✺
09.09.25	Azerbaijan - Ukraine	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWT
- Sweden
FIFA World Cup
18.11.25	Sweden - Slovenia	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Switzerland - Sweden	4:1 ✺
13.10.25	Sweden - Kosovo	0:1 ✺
10.10.25	Sweden - Switzerland	0:2 ✺
08.09.25	Kosovo - Sweden	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro
29.06.21	Sweden - Ukraine	1:2 ET
11.06.12	Ukraine - Sweden	2:1

Ukraine - Sweden: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide