Match Info

CROATIA: Druga NL - Round 8

Date: 9 October 2024, Wednesday


	Uljanik Pula		Jadran Poreč

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.2	7.75
	1.23	5.2	11
	1.36	4.07	5.24
				Watch
	1.33	4.65	7.55
	1.23	5.2	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.55)	4.66 ↑ (3.9)	8.51 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uljanik Pula
69.9%

Draw
19.5%

Jadran Poreč
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

23%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

18.8%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uljanik Pula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Uljanik Pula's performance.

Jadran Poreč has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jadran Poreč might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uljanik Pula than the current prediction. (-22.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Uljanik Pula that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jadran Poreč than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jadran Poreč could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Uljanik Pula - Jadran Poreč Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Peric-Komsic R. ⚽,
66', 2 - 0, Peric-Komsic R. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Uljanik is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jadran Poreč has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Uljanik is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Uljanik Pula
Croatian Druga NL
05.10.24	Trnje Zagreb - Uljanik Pula	3:2 ✺
28.09.24	Uljanik Pula - Karlovac	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Bjelovar - Uljanik Pula	0:0 ✺
13.09.24	Uljanik Pula - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Uljanik Pula - Grobničan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLTLW
- Jadran Poreč
Croatian Druga NL
05.10.24	Jadran Poreč - Jadran Luka Ploče	0:5 ✺
01.10.24	Hrvace - Jadran Poreč	3:2 ✺
21.09.24	Jadran Poreč - Dugo Selo	2:5 ✺
14.09.24	Segesta - Jadran Poreč	4:0 ✺
Croatian Cup
10.09.24	Jadran Poreč - Mladost Ždralovi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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