Match Info

Druga NL - Round 14

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Uljanik Pula		Kustošija

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.05
	3.27	3.46	2.01	Watch
	3.06	3.25	2.14
	3.1	3.5	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↓ (3.15)	3.37 ↓ (3.55)	2.05 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uljanik Pula
28.9%

Draw
26.9%

Kustošija
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

25.8%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

25.5%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uljanik Pula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Kustošija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uljanik Pula than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Uljanik Pula - Kustošija Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, Garces B. ⚽,
9', 0 - 2, Garces B. ⚽,
19', 0 - 3, Garces B. ⚽,
38', 1 - 3, Ahmeti D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 1 - 4, Baltic T. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva NL (Promotion: )).

Uljanik has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kustošija is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kustošija may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kustošija could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Uljanik won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Uljanik won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Uljanik Pula
Croatian Druga NL
15.11.25	Uskok Klis - Uljanik Pula	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Uljanik Pula - Bjelovar	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	Segesta - Uljanik Pula	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Uljanik Pula - Radnik Križevci	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Đakovo Croatia - Uljanik Pula	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLWL
- NK Kustošija
Croatian Druga NL
14.11.25	Kustošija - Trnje Zagreb	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Dugo Selo - Kustošija	0:1 ✺
31.10.25	Kustošija - Grobničan	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Lučko - Kustošija	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Uskok Klis - Kustošija	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
09.05.25	Kustošija - Uljanik Pula	2:1
09.11.24	Uljanik Pula - Kustošija	1:1

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