Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 9

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Ullern		Konnerud

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.2	3.35
	1.71	4.28	3.44
	1.77	4.24	3.49	Watch
	1.75	3.8	3.4
	1.81	4.47	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.01)	4.2 ↓ (4.44)	3.4 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ullern
51.7%

Draw
21.6%

Konnerud
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

20.7%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

19.9%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ullern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ullern's performance.

Konnerud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Konnerud might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ullern than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Konnerud than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Konnerud could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ullern - Konnerud Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Smith D. S. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Nabi O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 2 - 1, Evensen B. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Ullern has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Konnerud's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ullern will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ullern	22	7	2	13	42:58	-16	23
14	Konnerud	22	5	2	15	34:59	-25	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ullern IF
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
25.05.26	Union Carl Berner - Ullern	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Ullern - Frigg Oslo	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Vålerenga 2 - Ullern	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Ullern - Ready	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Grei - Ullern	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- Konnerud IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
25.05.26	Konnerud - Lokomotiv Oslo	4:3 ✺
16.05.26	Nordstrand - Konnerud	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Konnerud - Gamle Oslo	2:4 ✺
04.05.26	KFUM 2 - Konnerud	4:2 ✺
25.04.26	Konnerud - Frigg Oslo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLLW

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