Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 3 - Round 16

Date: 13 August 2024, Tuesday


	Ullern		Skeid 2

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.99	4.76
	1.42	5.35	5.15	Watch
	1.44	5.5	4
	1.36	5.4	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.61)	5.31 ↑ (4.3)	4.9 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ullern
64.5%

Draw
17.1%

Skeid 2
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

21.2%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

20.4%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ullern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ullern's performance.

Skeid 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ullern than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ullern that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skeid 2 than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Ullern - Skeid 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Aarenes J. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Holsaether V. ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 0, Evensen B. ⚽,
45+3', 4 - 0, Evensen B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', 5 - 0, Rorstad S. ⚽,
72', 5 - 1, Lunde D. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Ullern is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Skeid 2 is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ullern is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ullern won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ullern IF
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
13.07.24	Sarpsborg 2 - Ullern	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Ullern - Åskollen	5:1 ✺
28.06.24	Åssiden - Ullern	2:1 ✺
24.06.24	Ullern - Mjøndalen 2	4:1 ✺
15.06.24	Skeid 2 - Ullern	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLWW
- Skeid 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
11.07.24	Skeid 2 - Frigg Oslo	4:3 ✺
06.07.24	Nordstrand - Skeid 2	6:1 ✺
29.06.24	Skeid 2 - Bærum	1:5 ✺
23.06.24	Oppsal - Skeid 2	6:0 ✺
15.06.24	Skeid 2 - Ullern	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
15.06.24	Skeid 2 - Ullern	2:3

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