Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 3 - Round 15

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday


	Sarpsborg 2		Ullern

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.85	2.25
	2.47	3.95	2.32	Watch
	2.38	3.6	2.38
	2.48	3.88	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.25)	3.82 ↑ (3.6)	2.3 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarpsborg 2
36.9%

Draw
23.7%

Ullern
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

24.9%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

26%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarpsborg 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Ullern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 2 than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ullern than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ullern, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sarpsborg 2 - Ullern Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Manirakiza M. ⚽,
83', 1 - 1, Evensen B. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 and 8).

Recent matches Sarpsborg 2 is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ullern is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sarpsborg 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sarpsborg 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarpsborg 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
08.07.24	Asker Fotball - Sarpsborg 2	4:2 ✺
29.06.24	Sarpsborg 2 - Nordstrand	1:0 ✺
22.06.24	Gamle Oslo - Sarpsborg 2	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Sarpsborg 2 - Frigg Oslo	0:2 ✺
07.06.24	Sarpsborg 2 - Åssiden	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWLLW
- Ullern IF
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
06.07.24	Ullern - Åskollen	5:1 ✺
28.06.24	Åssiden - Ullern	2:1 ✺
24.06.24	Ullern - Mjøndalen 2	4:1 ✺
15.06.24	Skeid 2 - Ullern	2:3 ✺
08.06.24	Bærum - Ullern	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
06.05.24	Ullern - Sarpsborg 2	2:0

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