Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 2 - GROUP 2 - ROUND 11

Date: 26 June 2023, Monday


	Ullern		Strømsgodset 2

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.9	3.7
	1.73	4.1	3.6
	1.75	4.16	3.76
	1.7	3.7	3.7
	1.73	4.15	3.75
	1.74	3.95	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.02)	3.99 ↓ (4)	3.69 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ullern
52.7%

Draw
22.7%

Strømsgodset 2
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

22.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

22.3%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ullern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ullern's performance.

Strømsgodset 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Strømsgodset 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ullern than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ullern that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strømsgodset 2 than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Strømsgodset 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Ullern - Strømsgodset 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ullern will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ullern: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bugge C. (G) 11. Austnes L. 22. Badsvik M. 4. Dizdar I. (C) 8. Folstad L. 19. Jef E. O. 6. Lindoe E. 10. Martinussen T. 2. Navarsete H. S. 34. Rye O. N. 7. Skarn C.	40. Saetra M. (G) 85. Ahmadzay D. 18. Boahene E. 21. Farji M. 15. Heredia-Randen A. 30. Holst-Larsen F. 37. Marcello Silalahi S. A. 65. Selliah A. 47. Skjold A. 38. Spiten-Nysaeter M. 68. Vaage Y. (C)
Substitutes
29. Aarenes J. 18. Bay-Larsen A. 31. Broch J. 15. Fosen M. 24. Jorde J. 17. Mulaj E. 26. Stofring T. 21. Tobiassen B. 12. Wold J. (G)	39. Bukten J. 90. Gabrielsen M. 76. Holseter-Karlsen S. 44. Lacle K. 52. Lampinen-Skaug S. (G) 58. Myrvang H. 61. Sorum C. 35. Svendby C. 19. Thorsen A.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Ullern is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Strømsgodset 2 is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ullern could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ullern is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ullern IF
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
17.06.23	Stjørdals-Blink - Ullern	3:3 ✺
10.06.23	Ullern - Ullensaker Kisa	0:1 ✺
04.06.23	Strømmen - Ullern	2:0 ✺
27.05.23	Ullern - Gjøvik-Lyn	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.05.23	Frigg Oslo - Ullern	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLLTL
- Strømsgodset IF 2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
17.06.23	Ullensaker Kisa - Strømsgodset 2	2:0 ✺
12.06.23	Strømsgodset 2 - Gjøvik-Lyn	5:1 ✺
05.06.23	Levanger - Strømsgodset 2	4:1 ✺
30.05.23	Strømsgodset 2 - Brann 2	3:2 ✺
14.05.23	Kvik Halden - Strømsgodset 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWLWL

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