Match Info

Date: 20 November 2021, Saturday


	Ulm U19		Greuther Fürth U19

	1	X	2
	2	4	2.75
	1.95	3.7	2.8
	2.03	3.6	2.95
	1.93	3.91	2.96
	2	3.6	3
	1.98	3.82	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.15)	3.77 ↓ (4)	2.93 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulm U19
45.4%

Draw
23.9%

Greuther Fürth U19
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

22.4%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

16.3%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Greuther Fürth U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Greuther Fürth U19 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm U19 than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ulm U19 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth U19 than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Greuther Fürth U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 15).

Ulm U19 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Furth U19 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ulm U19 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ulm U19 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Ulm U19 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm U19
German Junioren Bundesliga South
04.11.21	Augsburg U19 - Ulm U19	1:0 ✺
30.10.21	Nurnberg U19 - Ulm U19	2:1 ✺
24.10.21	Ulm U19 - Hessen Kassel U19	4:0 ✺
16.10.21	Hoffenheim U19 - Ulm U19	5:2 ✺
02.10.21	Ulm U19 - Eintracht Frankfurt U19	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL
- Greuther Fürth U19
German Junioren Bundesliga South
30.10.21	Greuther Fürth U19 - Freiburg U19	0:1 ✺
23.10.21	Kickers Offenbach U19 - Greuther Fürth U19	2:3 ✺
17.10.21	Greuther Fürth U19 - Heidenheim U19	0:3 ✺
02.10.21	Darmstadt U19 - Greuther Fürth U19	0:0 ✺
26.09.21	Greuther Fürth U19 - Stuttgarter Kickers U19	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Junioren Bundesliga South
26.09.20	Greuther Fürth U19 - Ulm U19	4:2
08.03.20	Ulm U19 - Greuther Fürth U19	5:1
28.09.19	Greuther Fürth U19 - Ulm U19	2:2

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