Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: First Division - Round 12

Date: 21 June 2024, Friday


	Ulytau		Khan Tengri

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.6	2.25
	2.55	3.75	2.3
	2.49	3.55	2.14
	2.45	3.6	2.25
	2.54	3.62	2.29
	2.55	3.65	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.32)	3.63 ↑ (3.6)	2.26 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulytau
35.6%

Draw
24.7%

Khan Tengri
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

25.2%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

23.5%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulytau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Khan Tengri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ulytau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khan Tengri than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Khan Tengri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ulytau - Khan Tengri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Zhangaliev Z. (G) 5. Slambekov D. 13. Sapanov M. 22. Rzataev B. 2. Aslan R. 31. Dilmurat M. 12. Nursultanov K. 3. Gunchenko V. 15. Turysbek B. 17. Moldakaraev Z. 77. Sarsenbay E.	20. Pasechenko A. (G) 6. Kashken D. 66. Shakhmetov M. 4. Nuraly M. 14. Kuantaev E. 13. Amirseitov I. 37. Gaziev A. 88. Tuzakbaev A. 21. Kurbanov T. 30. Kalybayev D. 11. Zhakipbayev M.
Substitutes
20. Burkitbaev E. 4. Chalkin M. 19. Gladchenko M. 8. Kalymbetov A. 11. Musaev E. 35. Pavlov S. (G) 1. Saurbay A. (G) 23. Saylybaev O. 21. Shauymbay M. 99. Skorykh M. 18. Zhankhaev R.	9. Agzambayev N. 1. Aliakbar A. (G) 7. Emirov R. 25. Erlan D. 10. Kozhamberdy Z. 17. Kriventsev P. 23. Shaykhov B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Gunchenko V. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Kalybayev D. (Pen),
35', Rzataev B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gaziev A. ↓, Tuleu D. ↑,
46', Sarsenbay E. ↓, Zhankhaev R. ↑,
59', Kashken D. 🟨,
63', Zhakipbayev M. ↓, Kozhamberdy Z. ↑,
63', Kalybayev D. ↓, Agzambayev N. ↑,
71', Turysbek B. 🟨,
76', Moldakaraev Z. 🟨,
78', Tuzakbaev A. ↓, Emirov R. ↑,
87', 0 - 2, Agzambayev N. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 3).

One and the other team during the last matches got a chain of wins.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ulytau
Kazakh First League
13.06.24	Aktobe 2 - Ulytau	0:3 ✺
06.06.24	Ulytau - Kaisar 2	4:1 ✺
31.05.24	Okzhetpes - Ulytau	1:1 ✺
23.05.24	Ulytau - Kairat 2	3:1 ✺
16.05.24	Taraz - Ulytau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWTWW
- Khan Tengri FC
Kazakh First League
13.06.24	Khan Tengri - Batyr Ekibastuz	2:1 ✺
06.06.24	Kaspiy Aktau - Khan Tengri	3:5 ✺
31.05.24	Khan Tengri - Aktobe 2	6:2 ✺
22.05.24	Akzhayik - Khan Tengri	0:0 ✺
16.05.24	Khan Tengri - Turkistan	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.8 WWWTW

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