Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday


	Umeå		Forward

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.41	4.5	5.5
	1.38	4.9	6
	1.42	4.5	5.6
	1.45	4.95	5.58
	1.42	4.45	5.85
	1.43	4.6	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.51)	4.65 ↑ (3.8)	5.69 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umeå
64.3%

Draw
19.6%

Forward
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

23.6%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

22.4%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Forward has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	22.2%	44.4%

Umeå - Forward Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Umeå will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Forward will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Forward: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Umeå won 5.

Umeå is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Forward has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Forward could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Umeå is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Umeå won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Umeå won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umeå FC
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
09.10.22	Umeå - Storfors	1:2 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
08.10.22	Sylvia - Umeå	0:1 ✺
01.10.22	Umeå - Sandviken	1:3 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
01.10.22	Skellefteå FF - Umeå	4:0 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
25.09.22	Stockholm Internazionale - Umeå	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLL
- BK Forward
Swedish Division 1 Norra
08.10.22	Forward - Sollentuna	0:3 ✺
01.10.22	Örebro Syrianska - Forward	1:1 ✺
24.09.22	Forward - Täby	1:3 ✺
17.09.22	Vasalund - Forward	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Forward - Hammarby TFF	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
08.05.22	Forward - Umeå	0:1
22.09.19	Umeå - Forward	2:1
05.05.19	Forward - Umeå	1:2
09.09.18	Umeå - Forward	2:1
07.07.18	Forward - Umeå	0:1
16.10.16	Umeå - Forward	3:1
21.05.16	Forward - Umeå	2:1

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