Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday


	Umeå		Storfors

	1	X	2
	9	5.5	1.23
	8.2	5.4	1.22
	9.77	6.04	1.24
	6.5	5	1.3
	9.4	6	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.57 ↑ (5.98)	5.59 ↑ (4.95)	1.24 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umeå
10.6%

Draw
16.2%

Storfors
73.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

18.6%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

17.8%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umeå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Storfors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Storfors's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Storfors than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Umeå - Storfors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Umeå has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Storfors is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Umeå could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Storfors is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Storfors to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Umeå won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Umeå won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umeå FC
Swedish Division 1 Norra
08.10.22	Sylvia - Umeå	0:1 ✺
01.10.22	Umeå - Sandviken	1:3 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
01.10.22	Skellefteå FF - Umeå	4:0 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
25.09.22	Stockholm Internazionale - Umeå	2:1 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
24.09.22	Umeå - Kiruna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLLL
- Storfors AIK
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
01.10.22	Ytterhogdal - Storfors	1:2 ✺
24.09.22	Storfors - Sund	6:1 ✺
17.09.22	Kiruna - Storfors	2:1 ✺
08.09.22	Bergnäsets - Storfors	1:2 ✺
04.09.22	Storfors - IFK Östersunds	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
11.06.22	Storfors - Umeå	6:0
15.08.21	Umeå - Storfors	1:1
11.07.21	Storfors - Umeå	2:1

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