Match Info

Division 2 - Norrland - Relegation Group

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Umea Energi Arena SOL (Umea)


	Umeå FF		Friska Viljor

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.70	2.60
	2.02	3.60	2.75
	2.14	4.20	2.50
	2.08	4.26	2.69	Watch
	2.11	4.05	2.45
	2.01	4.02	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.02)	3.97 ↑ (3.6)	2.66 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umeå FF
43.4%

Draw
22.7%

Friska Viljor
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

24.4%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

23.9%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umeå FF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Friska Viljor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umeå FF than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Friska Viljor than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Umeå FF - Friska Viljor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 4)
69', 0 - 1, ⚽,
75', 0 - 2, ⚽,
83', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Friska Viljor may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Umeå FF is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Umeå FF has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 2.5:1 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umeå FF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
26.09.26	IFK Umeå - Umeå FF	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Umeå FF - Storfors	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Fränsta - Umeå FF	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Friska Viljor - Umeå FF	1:4 ✺
21.08.26	Umeå FF - IFK Umeå	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWW
- Friska Viljor FC
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
26.09.26	Storfors - Friska Viljor	0:3 ✺
19.09.26	Friska Viljor - Fränsta	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	IFK Umeå - Friska Viljor	2:3 ✺
29.08.26	Friska Viljor - Umeå FF	1:4 ✺
Svenska Cupen
26.08.26	Friska Viljor - Sirius	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
29.08.26	Friska Viljor - Umeå FF	1:4
17.05.26	Friska Viljor - Umeå FF	1:1

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