Match Info

Date: 10 October 2020, Saturday


	Umeå		Jönköpings Södra

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.65	Watch
	4.33	3.8	1.62
	4.9	3.85	1.63	Watch
	4.5	3.75	1.66
	5.07	3.95	1.7
	4.8	3.8	1.67	Watch
	4.6	4.15	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.71 ↓ (5.22)	3.87 ↓ (3.88)	1.66 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umeå
19.8%

Draw
24.1%

Jönköpings Södra
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

24%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

19.3%

72.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Jönköpings Södra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Umeå that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jönköpings Södra than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jönköpings Södra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Umeå - Jönköpings Södra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion to Allsvenskan (Promotion)).

Recent matches Umeå is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jönköpings Södra is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jönköpings Södra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Jönköpings Södra is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Umeå won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umeå FC
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
10.10.20	Umeå - Stöde	3:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
04.10.20	Akropolis - Umeå	3:3 ✺
27.09.20	Umeå - AFC Eskilstuna	0:3 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
25.09.20	IFK Umeå - Umeå	0:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
21.09.20	Umeå - Degerfors	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WTLWL
- Jönköpings Södra
Swedish Superettan
03.10.20	Jönköpings Södra - Halmstad	1:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
30.09.20	Sandviken - Jönköpings Södra	2:0 ✺
Swedish Superettan
26.09.20	Västerås SK - Jönköpings Södra	2:2 ✺
19.09.20	Jönköpings Södra - Öster	4:1 ✺
16.09.20	Jönköpings Södra - Örgryte	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
08.08.20	Jönköpings Södra - Umeå	1:0
Svenska Cupen
16.03.13	Jönköpings Södra - Umeå	3:0

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