Match Info

1. Lig - Round 6

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Ümraniye Hekimbaşı Şehir Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Aksuoğlu F. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii Spor 6


	Umraniyespor		Igdirspor

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.85	Watch
	3.87	3.63	1.79
	4.02	3.7	1.94
	3.42	3.26	2.10	Watch
	4.31	3.52	1.77
	4.4	3.5	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↓ (4.56)	3.52 ↓ (3.6)	1.86 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umraniyespor
23.3%

Draw
26.5%

Igdirspor
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

26.1%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

27.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Igdirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Igdirspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Umraniyespor - Igdirspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Umraniyespor (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Igdirspor will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Igdirspor will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Umraniyespor (votes: 2 - 25%). Igdirspor (votes: 6 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Topaloglu C. (G) 70. Yildirim O. 44. Glumac T. 75. Kaplan E. 81. Bulbul A. T. 8. Goksu S. 20. Babacan A. 27. Soukou C. 88. Djokanovic A. 77. Benny 10. Bardhi J.	26. Bolat S. (G) 58. Kaya G. 5. Ozturk A. 86. Bekaroglu B. 19. Conte A. 21. Erdogan D. 77. Vural G. 34. Akcan E. 11. Rotariu D. 22. Cavlan C. 9. Bruno G.
Substitutes
1. Adiyaman U. (G) 9. Celik B. 11. Ekincier B. 17. Hoti E. 14. Kocaturk Y. 92. Ozdemir T. 97. Saitoglu Y. 30. Sas Y. D. 99. Yildirim O. (G) 59. Yilmaz Y.	98. Akyuz M. (G) 17. Engin A. 10. Eysseric V. 7. Fofana M. 6. Guctekin O. K. 23. Guneren A. K. 55. Koita F. 36. Ozcan O. 4. Selvi A. 16. Yilmaz A.
Coaches
Bolukbasi B.	Isik M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Conte A. 🟨,
43', Soukou C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rotariu D. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
63', Erdogan D. ↓, Guctekin O. K. ↑,
68', Babacan A. ↓, Hoti E. ↑,
77', Cavlan C. ↓, Koita F. ↑,
77', Akcan E. ↓, Engin A. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Ozturk A. ⚽,
82', Goksu S. ↓, Ekincier B. ↑,
88', Soukou C. ↓, Celik B. ↑,
89', Vural G. ↓, Selvi A. ↑,
90+5', Kaplan E. 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Umraniyespor is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Igdirspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Igdirspor is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Umraniyespor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Umraniyespor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umraniyespor
Turkish First League
13.09.25	İstanbulspor - Umraniyespor	4:0 ✺
30.08.25	Umraniyespor - Erokspor	0:2 ✺
24.08.25	Umraniyespor - Hatayspor	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	Serik Belediyespor - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
08.08.25	Umraniyespor - Manisa FK	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTLW
- Igdirspor
Turkish First League
14.09.25	Igdirspor - Serik Belediyespor	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Manisa FK - Igdirspor	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Igdirspor - Vanspor	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	Sakaryaspor - Igdirspor	3:2 ✺
09.08.25	Igdirspor - Sarıyer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
28.03.25	Igdirspor - Umraniyespor	0:0
08.11.24	Umraniyespor - Igdirspor	0:1

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