Match Info

1. Lig - Round 33

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Bodrum İlçe Stadı (Bodrum)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Bodrumspor		Umraniyespor

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.9	4.33	Watch
	1.73	3.38	4.55	Watch
	1.75	3.75	5.21
	1.6	3.99	5.19	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.4
	1.7	3.96	4.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.6)	3.78 ↓ (4.12)	4.68 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodrumspor
55.3%

Draw
24.7%

Umraniyespor
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

22.5%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

21.6%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodrumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bodrumspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Bodrumspor - Umraniyespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bodrumspor will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Umraniyespor will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 17. Yavuzay B. 11. Imeri O. 34. Aytemur A. (C) 35. Apaydin F. 21. Aslan A. 10. Brazao P. 23. Hotic D. 20. Sertkaya Y. 99. Seferi T. 90. Habesoglu A.	35. Topaloglu C. (G) 81. Bulbul A. T. 14. Kocaturk Y. 53. Oksuz B. 75. Kaplan E. 8. Goksu S. (C) 88. Djokanovic A. 20. Babacan A. 77. Benny 9. Celik B. 11. Ekincier B.
Substitutes
19. Astanakulov S. 70. Bilsel E. 18. Obekpa G. 91. Ogruce E. 9. Osman H. 26. Potuk A. 30. Tarhan Y. 68. Tarim I. 32. Tosun B. (G) 25. Turk A.	1. Adiyaman U. (G) 5. Aktas K. 4. Eser M. 17. Hoti E. 12. Kosoko T. 92. Ozdemir T. 30. Sas Y. D. 27. Soukou C. 70. Yildirim O. 59. Yilmaz Y.
Coaches
Yilmaz S.	Albayrak T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Hotic D. ⚽, Imeri O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Goksu S. ↓, Hoti E. ↑,
60', Ekincier B. ↓, Kosoko T. ↑,
60', Benny ↓, Sas Y. D. ↑,
73', Djokanovic A. ↓, Ozdemir T. ↑,
77', Kaplan E. 🟨,
77', Imeri O. 🟨,
78', Habesoglu A. ↓, Bilsel E. ↑,
78', Celik B. ↓, Soukou C. ↑,
83', Seferi T. 🟨,
84', Kosoko T. 🟨,
85', Hotic D. ↓, Potuk A. ↑,
90+3', Imeri O. ↓, Tarim I. ↑,
90+3', Brazao P. ↓, Turk A. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

Bodrumspor is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Umraniyespor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Bodrumspor is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Bodrumspor: Erdilman M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Umraniyespor: Bardhi J. (Yellow Cards) Glumac T. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Bodrumspor: Ajeti Ar. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bodrumspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Bodrumspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Bodrumspor	8	1	5	2	7:6	1	8
16	Umraniyespor	8	1	3	4	6:9	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodrumspor
Turkish First League
22.03.26	İstanbulspor - Bodrumspor	0:1 ✺
16.03.26	Bodrumspor - Boluspor	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Igdirspor - Bodrumspor	2:3 ✺
08.03.26	Bodrumspor - Erokspor	3:4 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.03.26	Bodrumspor - Igdirspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWLT
- Umraniyespor
Turkish First League
21.03.26	Umraniyespor - Pendikspor	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sivasspor - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
11.03.26	Umraniyespor - Erzurumspor	3:1 ✺
06.03.26	Sarıyer - Umraniyespor	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Umraniyespor - Bandırmaspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
23.11.25	Umraniyespor - Bodrumspor	1:0
03.02.24	Umraniyespor - Bodrumspor	1:2
03.09.23	Bodrumspor - Umraniyespor	4:0

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