Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Unión Molinense		Santomera

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.35	4.95
	1.63	3.45	5.46
	25.00	6.17	1.12	Watch
	1.64	3.4	5.18
	1.54	3.55	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.29 ↑ (1.59)	3.98 ↑ (3.4)	4.54 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Molinense
25.2%

Draw
39.8%

Santomera
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

26.7%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

20.3%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Molinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-31.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Molinense's form might have worsened.

Santomera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santomera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Molinense than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Molinense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santomera than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santomera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Unión Molinense - Santomera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, Molinense is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Molinense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Molinense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Molinense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
05.10.25	Caravaca - Unión Molinense	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Unión Molinense - Cieza	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Bala Azul - Unión Molinense	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
17.09.25	Minera - Unión Molinense	3:0 ET ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
14.09.25	Unión Molinense - Olímpico de Totana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTLL
- Santomera CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
05.10.25	Santomera - Atlético Santa Cruz	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Santomera - Muleño	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Caravaca - Santomera	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Santomera - Cieza	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Bala Azul - Santomera	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
25.05.25	Unión Molinense - Santomera	1:2
17.05.25	Santomera - Unión Molinense	0:0
15.02.25	Santomera - Unión Molinense	0:1
06.10.24	Unión Molinense - Santomera	2:2

Unión Molinense - Santomera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide