Match Info

Date: 27 February 2022, Sunday


	UniPomezia		Pianese

	1	X	2
	2.9	3	2.25
	2.8	3	2.35
	2.83	2.98	2.37
	2.9	3	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.38)	3 ↓ (3.14)	2.34 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UniPomezia
31.5%

Draw
30.1%

Pianese
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

28.6%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

22.3%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UniPomezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Pianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pianese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UniPomezia than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UniPomezia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (+18.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pianese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UniPomezia - Pianese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 8).

UniPomezia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pianese is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pianese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Pianese will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches UniPomezia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD UniPomezia
Italian Serie D - Group E
20.02.22	Tiferno Lerchi - UniPomezia	1:0 ✺
16.02.22	UniPomezia - Foligno	2:2 ✺
13.02.22	UniPomezia - Pro Livorno Sorgenti	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Arezzo - UniPomezia	3:0 ✺
30.01.22	UniPomezia - San Donato Tavarnelle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTWLL
- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group E
20.02.22	Pianese - Cannara	1:0 ✺
13.02.22	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Pianese	2:2 ✺
06.02.22	Pianese - Cascina Valdera	3:2 ✺
30.01.22	Scandicci - Pianese	1:0 ✺
23.01.22	Pianese - Pro Livorno Sorgenti	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
17.10.21	Pianese - UniPomezia	4:2

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