Match Info

Date: 6 February 2022, Sunday


	Arezzo		UniPomezia

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.1	5.25
	1.42	4.5	5.5
	1.42	4.2	5.2
	1.42	4.34	5.58
	1.5	3.9	5.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 (1.44)	4.21 ↑ (3.88)	5.5 ↑ (5.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arezzo
62.3%

Draw
21.4%

UniPomezia
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

22.6%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

13.4%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

UniPomezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-26.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arezzo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UniPomezia than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UniPomezia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arezzo - UniPomezia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Arezzo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Arezzo have a series of guest games.

In this match Arezzo is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie D - Group E
02.02.22	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
29.01.22	Trestina - Arezzo	2:0 ✺
19.01.22	Scandicci - Arezzo	2:2 ✺
22.12.21	Arezzo - Lornano Badesse	3:3 ✺
18.12.21	Cannara - Arezzo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLTTW
- ASD UniPomezia
Italian Serie D - Group E
30.01.22	UniPomezia - San Donato Tavarnelle	0:2 ✺
05.01.22	UniPomezia - Montespaccato	3:2 ✺
22.12.21	SanGiovanniValdarno - UniPomezia	0:0 ✺
19.12.21	UniPomezia - Follonica Gavorrano	0:2 ✺
12.12.21	Rieti - UniPomezia	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWTLW

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