Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	UniPomezia		Recanatese

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UniPomezia
44.1%

Draw
27.4%

Recanatese
28.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UniPomezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Recanatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UniPomezia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (-1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).

UniPomezia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Recanatese has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

UniPomezia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Recanatese has had a series of away games.

UniPomezia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD UniPomezia
Italian Serie D - Group F
19.10.25	Ancona - UniPomezia	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	UniPomezia - San Marino Calcio	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Grosseto - UniPomezia	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
05.10.25	L Aquila - UniPomezia	5:1 ✺
28.09.25	UniPomezia - Termoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTWLW
- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie D - Group F
19.10.25	Atletico Ascoli - Recanatese	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Ancona - Recanatese	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	L Aquila - Recanatese	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Recanatese - Termoli	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Sammaurese - Recanatese	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLLTW

UniPomezia - Recanatese