Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday


	Unia Swarzędz		Wda Świecie

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.70	3.90
	1.7	3.65	3.8
	1.77	3.87	3.72	Watch
	1.65	3.6	3.65
	1.71	4.04	4.04	Watch
	1.74	3.6	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.77)	3.74 ↑ (3.5)	3.79 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unia Swarzędz
52.4%

Draw
23.9%

Wda Świecie
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

25.5%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

26.7%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unia Swarzędz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Wda Świecie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unia Swarzędz than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wda Świecie than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Unia Swarzędz - Wda Świecie Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Retlewski D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In recent matches, Unia Swarzędz has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wda Świecie is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Unia Swarzędz is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Unia Swarzędz won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Unia Swarzędz won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Wda Swiecie	10	5	3	2	15:14	1	18
11	Unia Swarzedz	11	4	1	6	20:19	1	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unia Swarzędz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.08.26	Elana Toruń - Unia Swarzędz	2:3 ✺
14.08.26	Unia Swarzędz - Noteć Czarnków	0:3 ✺
01.08.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Unia Swarzędz	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Kotwica Kórnik - Unia Swarzędz	1:2 ✺
17.07.26	Unia Swarzędz - Sokół Kleczew	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWL
- Wda Świecie
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.08.26	Wda Świecie - Grom Nowy Staw	4:2 ✺
15.08.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Wda Świecie	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Wda Świecie - Lipno Stęszew	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Wda Świecie	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Wda Świecie - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
07.03.26	Unia Swarzędz - Wda Świecie	0:0
23.08.25	Wda Świecie - Unia Swarzędz	0:3
24.05.25	Wda Świecie - Unia Swarzędz	1:2
02.11.24	Unia Swarzędz - Wda Świecie	1:1

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