Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 27

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Unia Swarzędz		Cartusia Kartuzy

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.7	4.65
	1.58	3.75	4.66
	1.59	4.04	4.63	Watch
	1.6	3.4	4.8
	1.56	3.76	5.13	Watch
	1.58	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.58)	3.78 ↓ (4)	4.65 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unia Swarzędz
56.8%

Draw
23.8%

Cartusia Kartuzy
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unia Swarzędz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Cartusia Kartuzy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unia Swarzędz than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartusia Kartuzy than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Unia Swarzędz - Cartusia Kartuzy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Abbott Z. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Lukaszewski J. ⚽,
33', 2 - 1, Matuszewski M. ⚽,
38', 3 - 1, Kielb J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 4 - 1, Lukaszewski J. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unia Swarzędz won 2.

Recent performances by Unia Swarzędz have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cartusia Kartuzy's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Cartusia Kartuzy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Unia Swarzędz is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Unia Swarzędz won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Unia Swarzędz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Unia Swarzedz	11	4	1	6	20:19	1	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unia Swarzędz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
10.04.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Unia Swarzędz	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Unia Swarzędz - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Unia Swarzędz	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Unia Swarzędz - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	5:1 ✺
14.03.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Unia Swarzędz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLWL
- Cartusia Kartuzy
Polish Division 3 - Group II
11.04.26	Noteć Czarnków - Cartusia Kartuzy	3:2 ✺
04.04.26	Cartusia Kartuzy - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	0:0 ✺
01.04.26	Cartusia Kartuzy - Września	0:3 ✺
28.03.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Cartusia Kartuzy	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Cartusia Kartuzy - Wda Świecie	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.09.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Unia Swarzędz	1:0
05.04.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Unia Swarzędz	2:1
06.09.24	Unia Swarzędz - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:0
30.05.24	Cartusia Kartuzy - Unia Swarzędz	1:2
11.11.23	Unia Swarzędz - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:0
07.04.23	Unia Swarzędz - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:0
03.09.22	Cartusia Kartuzy - Unia Swarzędz	0:2

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