Match Info

GERMANY: JUNIOREN BUNDESLIGA NORTH - ROUND 14

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday


	Union Berlin U19		Osnabrück U19

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.8	6
	1.35	4.8	6.2
	1.32	5.56	6.54
	1.29	4.8	6.5
	1.31	5.15	7.17
	1.42	4.6	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.42)	4.95 ↑ (4.55)	6.27 ↑ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Berlin U19
67.4%

Draw
18.2%

Osnabrück U19
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

19.9%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

14.3%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Osnabrück U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin U19 than the current prediction. (-21.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Union Berlin U19 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osnabrück U19 than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Osnabrück U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Union Berlin U19 - Osnabrück U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Union Berlin U19 won 2.

Union Berlin U19 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Osnabrück U19 has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Osnabrück U19 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Union Berlin U19 have a series of guest games.

In this match Union Berlin U19 is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Union Berlin U19 won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Union Berlin U19 won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Berlin U19
German Junioren Bundesliga North
07.02.24	Union Berlin U19 - Hertha U19	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Dynamo Dresden U19 - Union Berlin U19	0:4 ✺
27.01.24	Union Berlin U19 - Carl Zeiss Jena U19	4:2 ✺
UEFA Youth League
12.12.23	Union Berlin U19 - Real Madrid U19	0:2 ✺
29.11.23	Braga U19 - Union Berlin U19	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWLL
- Osnabrück U19
German Junioren Bundesliga North
03.02.24	Osnabrück U19 - St. Pauli U19	2:2 ✺
16.12.23	Eintracht Braunschweig U19 - Osnabrück U19	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Osnabrück U19 - Hertha U19	1:3 ✺
11.11.23	Meppen U19 - Osnabrück U19	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Osnabrück U19 - Dynamo Dresden U19	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Junioren Bundesliga North
13.08.23	Osnabrück U19 - Union Berlin U19	0:0
27.02.22	Union Berlin U19 - Osnabrück U19	3:1
25.10.20	Union Berlin U19 - Osnabrück U19	1:1
03.02.19	Osnabrück U19 - Union Berlin U19	0:0
07.10.18	Union Berlin U19 - Osnabrück U19	6:2
11.02.18	Osnabrück U19 - Union Berlin U19	2:3
27.08.17	Union Berlin U19 - Osnabrück U19	0:1

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