Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 16

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday


	Ullern		Union Carl Berner

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.90	1.83
	3.25	4	1.8
	2.87	3.93	1.96
	2.91	4.14	1.99	Watch
	3.3	4.1	1.72
	3.18	4.44	1.85
	3.1	4.3	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.45)	4.12 ↑ (3.85)	1.84 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ullern
29.1%

Draw
21.9%

Union Carl Berner
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

22.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

21.9%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ullern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ullern's form might have worsened.

Union Carl Berner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Union Carl Berner's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ullern than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ullern, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Carl Berner than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Union Carl Berner, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Steiro A. G. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
51', 1 - 1, Lindahn E. ⚽,
53', Berre E. 🟥,
55', 2 - 1, Nouri A. ⚽,
77', 3 - 1, Vindenes A. ⚽,
89', 4 - 1, Hansen S. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Ullern has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Union Carl Berner is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ullern may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ullern won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Union Carl Berner	22	11	2	9	40:32	8	35
9	Ullern	22	7	2	13	42:58	-16	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ullern IF
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
08.08.26	Ullern - Gamle Oslo	2:5 ✺
01.08.26	Frigg Oslo - Ullern	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Ullern - Heming	1:3 ✺
27.06.26	Asker Fotball - Ullern	3:2 ✺
20.06.26	Ullern - KFUM 2	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLLL
- Union Carl Berner
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
07.08.26	Union Carl Berner - Konnerud	1:2 ✺
31.07.26	Gamle Oslo - Union Carl Berner	3:1 ✺
27.07.26	Union Carl Berner - Asker Fotball	1:2 ✺
26.06.26	Vålerenga 2 - Union Carl Berner	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Union Carl Berner - Grei	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
25.05.26	Union Carl Berner - Ullern	1:0

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